Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2022-23
Sun 16 Apr 2023 · 11:00 UTC Gazovik Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv MoskvaRFPL at Gazovik Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–4 L
10 Apr FK Rostov H 2–2 D
02 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–1 D
18 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–0 W
10 Mar PFK Sochi A 4–0 W
04 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr FK Orenburg A 4–1 W
09 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–2 L
01 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod A 4–0 W
18 Mar FK Krasnodar H 3–2 W
11 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–0 W
04 Mar FK Rostov A 3–1 W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#12 Position #3
29 Points 53
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 14 / 11 / 5
29 Scored 54
44 Conceded 39
-15 GD +15
0.97 PPG 1.77
23% Win % 47%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.11 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.48 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg19% Draw21% FK Lokomotiv Moskva60%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
40%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
81%
FK Orenburg or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg14% Draw37% FK Lokomotiv Moskva49%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 1
8.4%
1 – 3
7.5%
0 – 3
6.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 4
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
4%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 9% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 21% 45%
+1.5 55% 45%
+2 55% 19% 26%
+2.5 74% 26%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
9%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.