Saturday , 14 November 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2022-23
Sun 16 Apr 2023 · 11:00 UTC Gazovik Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL at Gazovik Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–4 L
10 Apr FK Rostov H 2–2 D
02 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–1 D
18 Mar FK Spartak Moskva H 2–0 W
10 Mar PFK Sochi A 4–0 W
04 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr FK Orenburg A 4–1 W
09 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–2 L
01 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod A 4–0 W
18 Mar FK Krasnodar H 3–2 W
11 Mar RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–0 W
04 Mar FK Rostov A 3–1 W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#10 Position #15
17 Points 11
14 Played 14
3 / 8 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 5 / 7
14 Scored 16
14 Conceded 21
+0 GD -5
1.21 PPG 0.79
21% Win % 14%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
22% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 15th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Jordhy Thompson 3 G 3 A
Gedeon Guzina 3 G 1 A
Ruslan Kul 3 G 1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
Nikolay Komlichenko 3 G 1 A
Nikolai Titkov 3 G 1 A
Zelimkhan Bakaev 1 G 1 A
Sergey Pinyaev 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.18 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg24% Draw25% FK Lokomotiv Moskva51%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
49%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
76%
FK Orenburg or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg19% Draw43% FK Lokomotiv Moskva38%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.