FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at National Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 17 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FC Tokyo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 17 May | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Tokyo is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
- 5' FC Tokyo is showing some good football. However, FC Tokyo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' It’s high time Rikizo Matsuhashi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' A quiet spell here at National Stadium. FC Tokyo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tsukasa Shiotani on 23.
- 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sho Sasaki suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Naoki Maeda by Sota Nakamura on 46 minute.
- 49' Hayato Araki adds to his 1 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 54' Valere Germain has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 59' GOAL! Ryo Germain fires home to make it 0-2!
- 62' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Takahiro Ko has done his job and it is now time for Keigo Higashi to step up.
- 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 72' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
- 73' Teruhito Nakagawa is replacing Kein Sato for the FC Tokyo side.
- 78' The crowd applauds Marcelo Ryan as he leaves the pitch. Teppei Oka steps in for FC Tokyo.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kei Koizumi on 85 minutes.
- 88' What composure from Hayao Kawabe! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-3.
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Mutsuki Kato has done his job and it is now time for Valere Germain to step up.
- FC Tokyo will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 47
- 99
- 22
- 8
- 37
- 41
- 44
- 33
- 32
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 3
- 10
- 39
- 4
- 13
- 30
- 19
- 28
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 90'
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Sota Nakamura 46'
- 33
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Taichi Yamasaki 90'
- 13
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Valere Germain 90'
Bench
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 90'
- 18
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 90'
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
- 40
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Shuto Abe | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-25
FC Tokyo
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Tokyo Verdy
W
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
57%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
67%
FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

