FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

FC Tokyo

0 – 3

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 25 May 2025 · 06:00 UTC National Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 23' Tsukasa Shiotani

Kei Koizumi 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at National Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tokyo 18 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-25 FC Tokyo 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo 2024-03-02 FC Tokyo 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-10-28 FC Tokyo 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–3	L
17 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–3	L
10 May	Vissel Kobe	H	1–0	W
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	FC Tokyo	A	3–0	W
17 May	Tokyo Verdy	H	2–1	W
11 May	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
07 May	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–0	W
03 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–1	W
29 Apr	Albirex Niigata	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

FC Tokyo		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#12	Position	#4
37	Points	30
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
55	Scored	41
42	Conceded	33
+13	GD	+8
2.06	PPG	1.67
72%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FC Tokyo kicks off things out of here…
5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
10' Kota Tawaratsumida has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
23' Sanfrecce Hiroshima player sees a card in front of him.
28' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tokyo in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shuto Nakano, as he is very good at scoring at National Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
43' With 0 assists to his name this season, Soma Anzai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tokyo.
46' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Naoki Maeda departs to be replaced by Sota Nakamura.
49' Hayato Araki adds to his 0 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
54' Valere Germain is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Tokyo so far.
59' Ryo Germain doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
62' FC Tokyo make a change. Takahiro Ko trudges off to be replaced by Keigo Higashi on 62 minutes.
67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
72' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Henrique Trevisan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
73' Teruhito Nakagawa is replacing Kein Sato for the FC Tokyo side.
78' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Marcelo Ryan departs to be replaced by Teppei Oka.
83' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
85' The referee shows FC Tokyo player a card on 85.
88' Hayao Kawabe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Valere Germain is hanging Mutsuki Kato on the field on 90 minute.
FC Tokyo will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

9
Ryo Germain ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 90'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
6
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Sota Nakamura 46'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Taichi Yamasaki 90'
13
Naoto Arai
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Valere Germain 90'

Bench

98
Valere Germain ↑ 90'
18
Daiki Suga
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 90'
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
20
Shion Inoue
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
40
Motoki Ohara
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 46'
26
Min-ki Jeong

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	5
Tolgay Arslan	3
Adailton	3
Tsukasa Morishima	3
Hayao Kawabe	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Hayato Araki	2
Hotaka Nakamura	2

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2025-05-25 FC Tokyo 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-05-17 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–2 FC Tokyo L 2025-05-10 FC Tokyo 1–0 Vissel Kobe W 2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tokyo W 2025-04-29 FC Tokyo 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-04-25 FC Tokyo 3–0 Gamba Osaka W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-05-25 FC Tokyo 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Tokyo Verdy W 2025-05-11 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-07 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.85 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo33% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima43%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.95

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

57%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

67%

FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo28% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.7%

1 – 3

5.3%

2 – 3

4.9%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

4.3%

3 – 1

4.1%

0 – 1

3.6%

2 – 0

3.4%

1 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	16%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	18%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.