Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Keita Endo 18' Y
Y 87' Hayato Araki

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–1 D
24 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–2 D
03 Dec Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
25 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–3 L
11 Nov Albirex Niigata A 0–0 D
28 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FC Tokyo A 1–1 D
23 Feb Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–0 W
03 Dec Avispa Fukuoka A 1–0 W
25 Nov Gamba Osaka H 3–0 W
11 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–0 D
28 Oct FC Tokyo A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Tokyo Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#12 Position #4
37 Points 30
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
55 Scored 41
42 Conceded 33
+13 GD +8
2.06 PPG 1.67
72% Win % 56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
85% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo
Motoki Nagakura 8 G 3 A
Marcelo Ryan 5 G 2 A
Dani Gomez 5 G
Soma Anzai 5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa 4 G 2 A
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 10 G 4 A
Mutsuki Kato 3 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ajinomoto Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keita Endo made 315 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' FC Tokyo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 18' Keita Endo was booked on 18.
  • 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
  • 33' The 37-year-old Sho Sasaki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 38' Kashif Bangunagande has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tokyo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 58' Yuki Ohashi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 42 goals in his last 418 appearances.
  • 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Makoto Mitsuta is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Tokyo.
  • 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 69' What composure from Yuki Ohashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 70' FC Tokyo make a change. Keita Endo trudges off to be replaced by Jaja Silva on 70 minutes.
  • 71' Against the run of play, Ryotaro Araki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 76' Mutsuki Kato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 81' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 82' Keigo Higashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Riki Harakawa on 82 minute.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Hayato Araki argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tokyo41% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
65%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
59%
FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo33% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
1 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
0 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 18% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 16% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.