Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #15 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 29 |
| 33 | Conceded | 32 |
| +8 | GD | -3 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sanfrecce Hiroshima kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 40' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Tokyo Verdy ring the changes. Itsuki Someno has done his job and it is now time for Yudai Kimura to step up.
- 51' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 55' The Tokyo Verdy bench stirs into life. Kosuke Saito is withdrawn and Hiroto Yamami gets his opportunity.
- 60' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 62' Kaito Suzuki gets the nod from Tokyo Verdy. He replaces Yuto Tsunashima and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yuan Matsuhashi on 63 minutes.
- 68' The whistle greets Naoki Maeda as he departs to be replaced by Valere Germain.
- 73' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Rei Hirakawa by Tetsuyuki Inami on 73 minute.
- 77' Yudai Kimura makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Tokyo Verdy are in front.
- 79' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Naoto Arai is withdrawn and Daiki Suga gets his opportunity.
- 84' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Shunki Higashi is replaced by Sota Koshimichi.
- 87' What a strike from Valere Germain! The score is 1-1.
- 89' The deadlock is broken! Hayao Kawabe gets on the scoresheet on 89 minutes.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Sanfrecce Hiroshima take all three points.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Valere Germain 68'
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Daiki Suga 79'
- 15
- 51
Bench
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 68'
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 79'
- 3
- 5
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 84'
- 40
- 36
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Rei Hirakawa ↓ Tetsuyuki Inami 73'
- 22
- 14
- 7
-
8
Kosuke Saito ↓ Hiroto Yamami 55'
-
9
Itsuki Someno ↓ Yudai Kimura 46'
- 1
- 2
- 3
-
23
Yuto Tsunashima ↓ Kaito Suzuki 62'
-
40
Yuta Arai ↓ Yuan Matsuhashi 46'
Bench
-
15
Kaito Suzuki ↑ 62'
- 37
-
19
Yuan Matsuhashi ↑ 46'
- 21
-
10
Yudai Kimura ↑ 46'
-
11
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 55'
- 20
-
17
Tetsuyuki Inami ↑ 73'
- 27
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Valere Germain | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Tokyo Verdy
W
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
82%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
41%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Tokyo Verdy
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Tokyo Verdy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.