Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #15 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 29 |
| 33 | Conceded | 32 |
| +8 | GD | -3 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score. At the same time, Tokyo Verdy does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuta Arai suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' It looks surprising Tokyo Verdy does not make any changes. Shuto Nakano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Sho Sasaki needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 26 Yellow cards this season.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Tokyo Verdy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' The travelling Tokyo Verdy supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Itsuki Someno by Yudai Kimura on 46 minute.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 55' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Kosuke Saito is replaced by Hiroto Yamami on 55 minute.
- 60' Tetsuyuki Inami has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 62' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Yuto Tsunashima is replaced by Kaito Suzuki on 62 minute.
- 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuan Matsuhashi.
- 68' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Naoki Maeda by Valere Germain on 68 minute.
- 73' Time for substitution for Tokyo Verdy. Rei Hirakawa is replaced by Tetsuyuki Inami.
- 77' Yudai Kimura puts Tokyo Verdy on the lead.
- 79' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Naoto Arai departs to be replaced by Daiki Suga.
- 84' Sota Koshimichi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shunki Higashi on 84 minute.
- 87' GOAL! Valere Germain scores on 87. Assisted by Hayato Araki
- 89' GOAL! Hayao Kawabe scores on 89.
- Another three points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Valere Germain 68'
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Daiki Suga 79'
- 15
- 51
Bench
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 68'
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 79'
- 3
- 5
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 84'
- 40
- 36
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Rei Hirakawa ↓ Tetsuyuki Inami 73'
- 22
- 14
- 7
-
8
Kosuke Saito ↓ Hiroto Yamami 55'
-
9
Itsuki Someno ↓ Yudai Kimura 46'
- 1
- 2
- 3
-
23
Yuto Tsunashima ↓ Kaito Suzuki 62'
-
40
Yuta Arai ↓ Yuan Matsuhashi 46'
Bench
-
15
Kaito Suzuki ↑ 62'
- 37
-
19
Yuan Matsuhashi ↑ 46'
- 21
-
10
Yudai Kimura ↑ 46'
-
11
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 55'
- 20
-
17
Tetsuyuki Inami ↑ 73'
- 27
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Valere Germain | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Tokyo Verdy
W
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
82%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
41%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Tokyo Verdy
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Tokyo Verdy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.