Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #15 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 29 |
| 33 | Conceded | 32 |
| +8 | GD | -3 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Tokyo Verdy
| Naoki Hayashi | 2 G |
| Shuhei Mizoguchi | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Tokyo Verdy that had 102 games and scored 85 goals.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Tokyo Verdy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Tokyo Verdy's shape.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Tokyo Verdy are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' Tokyo Verdy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 46' A change in the Tokyo Verdy ranks — Itsuki Someno exits the field as Yudai Kimura enters on 46.
- 51' Tokyo Verdy seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' A tactical swap from Tokyo Verdy — Hiroto Yamami on, Kosuke Saito off on 55 minutes.
- 60' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 62' Another change for Tokyo Verdy made on 62 minute. Yuto Tsunashima leaves to be changed by Kaito Suzuki.
- 63' The referee shows Tokyo Verdy player a card on 63.
- 68' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Naoki Maeda is withdrawn and Valere Germain gets his opportunity.
- 73' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Rei Hirakawa is replaced by Tetsuyuki Inami on 73 minute.
- 77' What a moment for Yudai Kimura! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
- 79' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Daiki Suga comes on to replace Naoto Arai.
- 84' Sota Koshimichi gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Shunki Higashi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Brilliant from the ! Valere Germain makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 87.
- 89' Goal! Hayao Kawabe scores his 22 goal in 342 matches.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Valere Germain 68'
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Daiki Suga 79'
- 15
- 51
Bench
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 68'
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 79'
- 3
- 5
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 84'
- 40
- 36
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Rei Hirakawa ↓ Tetsuyuki Inami 73'
- 22
- 14
- 7
-
8
Kosuke Saito ↓ Hiroto Yamami 55'
-
9
Itsuki Someno ↓ Yudai Kimura 46'
- 1
- 2
- 3
-
23
Yuto Tsunashima ↓ Kaito Suzuki 62'
-
40
Yuta Arai ↓ Yuan Matsuhashi 46'
Bench
-
15
Kaito Suzuki ↑ 62'
- 37
-
19
Yuan Matsuhashi ↑ 46'
- 21
-
10
Yudai Kimura ↑ 46'
-
11
Hiroto Yamami ↑ 55'
- 20
-
17
Tetsuyuki Inami ↑ 73'
- 27
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Valere Germain | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Shuto Nakano | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Tokyo Verdy
W
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Tokyo Verdy xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
82%
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
41%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Tokyo Verdy
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.2%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Tokyo Verdy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.