Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokyo — J. League at EDION Stadium Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
- Assistant 1 Naoya Okawa
- Assistant 2 Hiroyoshi Iwata
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | Yokohama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at EDION Stadium Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are looking to make home advantage count against FC Tōkyō.
- 2' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hotaka Nakamura on 2.
- 5' GOAL! Hotaka Nakamura scores on 5.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 12' Controversy at the stadium! Shunki Higashi argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 22' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 27' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 28' The deadlock is broken! Shuto Abe gets on the scoresheet on 28 minutes.
- 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Keigo Higashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 38' What composure from Tsukasa Morishima! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 39' Tsukasa Morishima has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
- 44' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Tōkyō backline.
- 46' Douglas Vieira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nassim Ben Khalifa on 46 minute.
- 50' Takumu Kawamura is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
- 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 62' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Gakuto Notsuda is replaced by Ezequiel.
- 67' Kashif Bangunagande is replacing Teruhito Nakagawa for the FC Tokyo side.
- 72' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 75' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Diego Oliveira has done his job and it is now time for Adailton to step up.
- 76' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Hotaka Nakamura is replaced by Yuto Nagatomo on 76 minute.
- 78' Pieros Sotiriou is replacing Shunki Higashi for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
- 82' Keigo Higashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryoma Watanabe at the 82 minute mark.
- 85' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Masato Morishige.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Masato Morishige.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
7
Gakuto Notsuda ↓ Ezequiel 62'
- 19
- 38
- 10
- 8
- 24
- 13
- 33
- 4
- 11
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↓ Shuto Nakano 62'
Bench
-
14
Ezequiel ↑ 62'
- 22
- 3
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 78'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 46'
- 16
-
15
Shuto Nakano ↑ 62'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Tokyo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
-
9
Diego Oliveira ↓ Adailton 75'
- 39
- 37
- 4
- 8
- 27
-
2
Hotaka Nakamura ↓ Yuto Nagatomo 75'
-
11
Ryoma Watanabe ↓ Keigo Higashi 82'
- 7
- 17
Bench
- 22
-
5
Yuto Nagatomo ↑ 75'
-
49
Kashif Bangunagande ↑ 67'
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↑ 82'
-
15
Adailton ↑ 75'
- 41
-
44
Henrique Trevisan ↑ 82'
- 22
Coach
Albert Puig
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tokyo 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Tokyo
62%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tokyo
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Tokyo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Tokyo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

