Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Gamba Osaka

0 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 11 May 2025 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Tokuma Suzuki 22' R

Y 57' Tsukasa Shiotani

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Gamba Osaka 21 games · Avg 2.3 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-11 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-12-08 Gamba Osaka 3–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-03-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2023-11-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Gamba Osaka 2023-03-12 Gamba Osaka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–1	L
06 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–0	W
03 May	Shonan Bellmare	H	4–0	W
29 Apr	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	2–1	W
25 Apr	FC Tōkyō	A	0–3	L
20 Apr	Yokohama FC	A	1–1	D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
07 May	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–0	W
03 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–1	W
29 Apr	Albirex Niigata	H	0–1	L
25 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–1	L
20 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#5	Position	#4
28	Points	30
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
61	Scored	41
53	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+8
1.56	PPG	1.67
56%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/4

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

6/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	5 G	3 A
Ryotaro Meshino	2 G
Welton	2 G
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Suita City Football Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' Gamba Osaka is showing some good football. However, Gamba Osaka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
20' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
22' Gamba Osaka receives a card for a hard tackle on 22.
27' Deniz Hummet makes way for Shu Kurata at the 27 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
32' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
33' Goal! Tsukasa Shiotani scores his 7 goal in 83 matches.
38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Juan Alano made 346 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
43' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
46' The supporters are chanting for Takeru Kishimoto. He replaces Takashi Usami on 46 minute.
51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gamba Osaka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tokuma Suzuki suffering a number of foals already.
57' Tsukasa Shiotani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
62' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
67' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
72' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dani Poyatos will be considering his options from the bench.
77' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
80' Gamba Osaka make a change. Ryoya Yamashita trudges off to be replaced by Issam Jebali on 80 minutes.
85' Japan international Mutsuki Kato has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
90' Another change for Gamba Osaka made on 90 minute. Shota Fukuoka leaves to be changed by Shoji Toyama.
Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dani Poyatos

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nassim Ben Khalifa	4
Makoto Mitsuta	3
Patric	2
Mutsuki Kato	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Leandro Pereira	2
Shu Kurata	2

Head to Head

Gamba Osaka Form

2025-05-11 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-05-06 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2025-05-03 Gamba Osaka 4–0 Shonan Bellmare W 2025-04-29 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2025-04-25 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2025-04-20 Yokohama FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-05-11 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-07 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata L 2025-04-25 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

2.21 Gamba Osaka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka41% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima35%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.25

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw

64%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

59%

Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gamba Osaka34% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

7.2%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.4%

3 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.7%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

3.6%

3 – 3

3.5%

0 – 2

3.1%

4 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap	Gamba Osaka covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	17%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

12% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.