Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
- 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Shunki Higashi scoring 1 goals.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 22' Gamba Osaka player sees a card in front of him.
- 27' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Deniz Hummet departs to be replaced by Shu Kurata.
- 32' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
- 33' The deadlock is broken! Tsukasa Shiotani gets on the scoresheet on 33 minutes.
- 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 43' With 1 assists to his name this season, Riku Handa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 46' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Takashi Usami is replaced by Takeru Kishimoto on 46 minute.
- 51' Shota Fukuoka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Issam Jebali made 176 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Tsukasa Shiotani gets a card.
- 62' Japan international Hayato Araki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
- 72' Gamba Osaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 77' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 80' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Ryoya Yamashita exits the field as Issam Jebali enters on 80.
- 85' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 90' Gamba Osaka make a change. Shota Fukuoka trudges off to be replaced by Shoji Toyama on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Harumi Minamino 80'
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Issam Jebali 80'
-
2
Shota Fukuoka ↓ Shoji Toyama 90'
- 16
- 51
- 3
-
23
Deniz Hummet ↓ Shu Kurata 27'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 80'
- 1
- 5
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 27'
- 8
- 24
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 90'
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 46'
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↑ 80'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
- 33
- 4
- 13
- 15
- 51
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Naoki Maeda 46'
Bench
- 18
- 3
- 5
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 46'
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
- 21
- 40
- 36
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
| Shu Kurata | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.21
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
64%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
59%
Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 17% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 16% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

