Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Yokohama FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Gamba Osaka have kicked off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Gamba Osaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Ryo Germain has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Sota Koshimichi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 22' Tokuma Suzuki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 22.
- 27' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Shu Kurata comes on to replace Deniz Hummet.
- 32' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
- 33' A goal from the Japan international Tsukasa Shiotani! He fires home on 33 to make it 0-1!
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 46' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Takashi Usami has done his job and it is now time for Takeru Kishimoto to step up.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' Japan international Mutsuki Kato has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 57' That looks like a foul for a card for Tsukasa Shiotani.
- 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shunki Higashi suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Shunki Higashi scoring 1 goals.
- 72' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 80' The crowd applauds Ryoya Yamashita as he leaves the pitch. Issam Jebali steps in for Gamba Osaka.
- 85' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shoji Toyama, as he is very good at scoring at Suita City Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 90' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Shota Fukuoka exits the field as Shoji Toyama enters on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Harumi Minamino 80'
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↓ Issam Jebali 80'
-
2
Shota Fukuoka ↓ Shoji Toyama 90'
- 16
- 51
- 3
-
23
Deniz Hummet ↓ Shu Kurata 27'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 80'
- 1
- 5
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 27'
- 8
- 24
-
40
Shoji Toyama ↑ 90'
-
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 46'
-
42
Harumi Minamino ↑ 80'
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
- 33
- 4
- 13
- 15
- 51
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Naoki Maeda 46'
Bench
- 18
- 3
- 5
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 46'
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
- 21
- 40
- 36
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nassim Ben Khalifa | 4 |
| Makoto Mitsuta | 3 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Leandro Pereira | 2 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-04-25
Urawa Red Diamonds
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-04-20
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.21
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
64%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
59%
Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 17% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 16% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

