Thursday , 2 July 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 11 May 2025 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
06 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–0 W
03 May Shonan Bellmare H 4–0 W
29 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Tōkyō A 0–3 L
20 Apr Yokohama FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
07 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
29 Apr Albirex Niigata H 0–1 L
25 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
20 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#5 Position #4
28 Points 30
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
61 Scored 41
53 Conceded 33
+8 GD +8
1.56 PPG 1.67
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
  • 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Shunki Higashi scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 22' Gamba Osaka player sees a card in front of him.
  • 27' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Deniz Hummet departs to be replaced by Shu Kurata.
  • 32' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
  • 33' The deadlock is broken! Tsukasa Shiotani gets on the scoresheet on 33 minutes.
  • 38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 43' With 1 assists to his name this season, Riku Handa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Takashi Usami is replaced by Takeru Kishimoto on 46 minute.
  • 51' Shota Fukuoka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Issam Jebali made 176 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Tsukasa Shiotani gets a card.
  • 62' Japan international Hayato Araki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 72' Gamba Osaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 77' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Gamba Osaka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 80' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Ryoya Yamashita exits the field as Issam Jebali enters on 80.
  • 85' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Gamba Osaka make a change. Shota Fukuoka trudges off to be replaced by Shoji Toyama on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.21 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka41% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima35%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
64%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
59%
Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka34% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 17% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 16% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
14%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.