Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 11 May 2025 · 06:00 UTC Suita City Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
06 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–0 W
03 May Shonan Bellmare H 4–0 W
29 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC H 2–1 W
25 Apr FC Tōkyō A 0–3 L
20 Apr Yokohama FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
07 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W
29 Apr Albirex Niigata H 0–1 L
25 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–1 L
20 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Gamba Osaka Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#5 Position #4
28 Points 30
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
61 Scored 41
53 Conceded 33
+8 GD +8
1.56 PPG 1.67
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Gamba Osaka to score. At the same time, Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Naoki Maeda needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' Poor challenge from Tokuma Suzuki. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 27' The whistle greets Deniz Hummet as he departs to be replaced by Shu Kurata.
  • 32' Juan Alano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
  • 33' Assisted by Ryo Germain with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tsukasa Shiotani makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 38' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sanfrecce Hiroshima backline.
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Gamba Osaka make a change. Takashi Usami trudges off to be replaced by Takeru Kishimoto on 46 minutes.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 57' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Tsukasa Shiotani gets a card.
  • 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sanfrecce Hiroshima winning 0% of all matches.
  • 67' Gamba Osaka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
  • 72' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 407 games and scored 381 goals.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Gamba Osaka. Ryoya Yamashita is replaced by Issam Jebali.
  • 85' The 31-year-old Ryo Germain has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 90' Shoji Toyama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shota Fukuoka at the 90 minute mark.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.21 Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka41% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima35%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Gamba Osaka or Draw
64%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
59%
Gamba Osaka or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gamba Osaka34% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka

Handicap Gamba Osaka covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 17% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 16% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
12% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.