Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 48' Mutsuki Kato
Hayato Araki og 62' 1–1
1–2 75' Makoto Mitsuta

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
21 Oct Yokohama FC A 0–1 L
01 Oct Gamba Osaka H 3–0 W
23 Sep Sagan Tosu FC H 3–2 W
15 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct FC Tokyo A 2–1 W
21 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–0 D
30 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
23 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
16 Sep Vissel Kobe H 2–0 W
02 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

FC Tokyo Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#12 Position #4
37 Points 30
18 Played 18
13 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
55 Scored 41
42 Conceded 33
+13 GD +8
2.06 PPG 1.67
72% Win % 56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
85% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo
Motoki Nagakura 8 G 3 A
Marcelo Ryan 5 G 2 A
Dani Gomez 5 G
Soma Anzai 5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa 4 G 2 A
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 10 G 4 A
Mutsuki Kato 3 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tokyo launch into their encounter with Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 5' Tsukasa Shiotani, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' FC Tokyo are deployed in a 4-2-1-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 15' Japan international Kei Koizumi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Teruhito Nakagawa, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 9 goals in the last 8 games.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 37' Henrique Trevisan was booked on 37.
  • 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunki Higashi.
  • 47' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 48' What composure from Mutsuki Kato! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shuto Nakano made 348 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' That is a card for FC Tokyo. Kei Koizumi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' Douglas Vieira picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 62' GOAL! Hayato Araki scores on 62.
  • 67' FC Tokyo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 72' Kota Tawaratsumida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adailton on 72 minute.
  • 75' What composure from Makoto Mitsuta! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 79' Keigo Higashi is replacing Riki Harakawa for the FC Tokyo side.
  • 84' named a 4-2-1-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 87' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Douglas Vieira departs to be replaced by Nassim Ben Khalifa.
  • 88' Shuhei Tokumoto is replacing Kashif Bangunagande for the FC Tokyo side.
  • 90' Nassim Ben Khalifa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • With this win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.28 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tokyo45% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
68%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55%
FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo36% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 18% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 15% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.