FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

FC Tōkyō

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 48' Mutsuki Kato

Hayato Araki og 62' 1–1

1–2 75' Makoto Mitsuta

Henrique Trevisan 37' Y

Y 42' Shunki Higashi

Kei Koizumi 57' Y

Y 58' Douglas Vieira

Y 90' Nassim Ben Khalifa

Teruhito Nakagawa 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 18 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tōkyō 2022-07-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tōkyō 2022-03-12 FC Tōkyō 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-11-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
21 Oct	Yokohama FC	A	0–1	L
01 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
23 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–2	W
15 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
03 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–2	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	2–1	W
21 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W
23 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–1	L
16 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	2–0	W
02 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

FC Tōkyō		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#12	Position	#4
37	Points	30
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
55	Scored	41
42	Conceded	33
+13	GD	+8
2.06	PPG	1.67
72%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	5 G	2 A
Marcelo Ryan	3 G	2 A
Soma Anzai	3 G

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Sanfrecce Hiroshima gets underway.
5' Kei Koizumi is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Tokyo tonight.
10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
15' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Tokyo must find a spark to ignite this game.
20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Peter Cklamovski will be considering his options from the bench.
30' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
35' Shuto Nakano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
37' Henrique Trevisan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 37.
42' Poor challenge from Shunki Higashi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
47' Riki Harakawa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
48' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mutsuki Kato on 48.
53' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
57' The referee shows FC Tokyo player a card on 57.
58' That is a card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Douglas Vieira will be fuming at that decision.
62' GOAL! Hayato Araki scores on 62.
67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taishi Nozawa made 442 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
72' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kota Tawaratsumida is hanging Adailton on the field on 72 minute.
75' Brilliant from the midfielder! Makoto Mitsuta makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 75.
79' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keigo Higashi is hanging Riki Harakawa on the field on 79 minute.
84' FC Tokyo are deployed in a 4-2-1-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 3-4-2-1 shape.
87' Douglas Vieira makes way for Nassim Ben Khalifa at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
88' The supporters are chanting for Shuhei Tokumoto. He replaces Kashif Bangunagande on 88 minute.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nassim Ben Khalifa.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

14
Ezequiel ↓ Takaaki Shichi 87'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
9
Douglas Vieira ↓ Nassim Ben Khalifa 87'
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	5
Tsukasa Morishima	3
Tolgay Arslan	3
Adailton	3
Shuto Abe	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Hayato Araki	2

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2023-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Yokohama FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō L 2023-10-01 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka L 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-09-15 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 FC Tōkyō L 2023-09-03 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-09-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Vissel Kobe W 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.28 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tokyo45% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

68%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

55%

FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo36% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

5.6%

3 – 2

5.2%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

4.2%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 3

3.3%

1 – 0

3.2%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	18%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.