FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

FC Tokyo

1 – 2

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 48' Mutsuki Kato

Hayato Araki og 62' 1–1

1–2 75' Makoto Mitsuta

Henrique Trevisan 37' Y

Y 42' Shunki Higashi

Kei Koizumi 57' Y

Y 58' Douglas Vieira

Y 90' Nassim Ben Khalifa

Teruhito Nakagawa 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tokyo 18 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-28 FC Tokyo 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tokyo 2022-07-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tokyo 2022-03-12 FC Tokyo 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2021-11-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tokyo

Recent Form

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
21 Oct	Yokohama FC	A	0–1	L
01 Oct	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
23 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–2	W
15 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
03 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	1–2	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	FC Tokyo	A	2–1	W
21 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D
30 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–1	W
23 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–1	L
16 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	2–0	W
02 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

FC Tokyo		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#12	Position	#4
37	Points	30
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
55	Scored	41
42	Conceded	33
+13	GD	+8
2.06	PPG	1.67
72%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Tōkyō and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Skibbe might look to freshen things up shortly.
10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
25' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
35' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
37' Controversy at the stadium! Henrique Trevisan argues furiously but the card stands.
42' That is a card for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Shunki Higashi will be fuming at that decision.
47' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
48' What composure from Mutsuki Kato! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
53' Hayato Araki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
57' It’s a booking for FC Tokyo player. Kei Koizumi gets a card.
58' Douglas Vieira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 58.
62' Hayato Araki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
72' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Kota Tawaratsumida comes on to replace Adailton.
75' Makoto Mitsuta doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
79' Keigo Higashi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Riki Harakawa at the 79 minute mark.
84' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Tōkyō must find a spark to ignite this game.
87' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nassim Ben Khalifa is hanging Douglas Vieira on the field on 87 minute.
88' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shuhei Tokumoto is hanging Kashif Bangunagande on the field on 88 minute.
90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
Another three points for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

14
Ezequiel ↓ Takaaki Shichi 87'
19
Sho Sasaki
38
Keisuke Osako
8
Takumu Kawamura
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
9
Douglas Vieira ↓ Nassim Ben Khalifa 87'
4
Hayato Araki
11
Makoto Mitsuta
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	5
Tolgay Arslan	3
Adailton	3
Tsukasa Morishima	3
Hayao Kawabe	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Hayato Araki	2
Hotaka Nakamura	2

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2023-10-28 FC Tokyo 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-10-21 Yokohama FC 1–0 FC Tokyo L 2023-10-01 FC Tokyo 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2023-09-23 FC Tokyo 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-09-15 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 FC Tokyo L 2023-09-03 FC Tokyo 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2023-10-28 FC Tokyo 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2023-10-21 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2023-09-30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2023-09-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-09-16 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Vissel Kobe W 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.28 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tokyo45% Draw23% Sanfrecce Hiroshima32%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

68%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

55%

FC Tokyo or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo36% Draw37% Sanfrecce Hiroshima27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

5.6%

3 – 2

5.2%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

4.2%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 3

3.3%

1 – 0

3.2%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	18%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.