Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Fri 13 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Todoroki Athletics Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Todoroki Athletics Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Sagan Tosu FC H 3–2 W
01 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–2 L
17 Aug Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–3 L
11 Aug FC Tōkyō A 3–0 W
07 Aug Vissel Kobe H 3–0 W
20 Jul Kashiwa Reysol A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 2–3 L
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
16 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–5 L
11 Aug Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
07 Aug Kashima Antlers A 0–3 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kawasaki Frontale is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 11' Kento Tachibanada puts Kawasaki Frontale on the lead.
  • 16' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Asahi Sasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kawasaki Frontale that had 439 games and scored 556 goals.
  • 26' Cayman Togashi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Erison suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Kawasaki Frontale team. Erison is replaced by Shin Yamada on 46 minute.
  • 50' What a strike from Tojiro Kubo! The score is 1-1.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Sai van Wermeskerken departs to be replaced by Sota Miura.
  • 61' What a strike from Akihiro Ienaga! The score is 2-1.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Shota Hino is replaced by Vykintas Slivka on 63 minute.
  • 68' It’s high time Naoyuki Iwata made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 69' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Yasuto Wakizaka departs to be replaced by Marcinho.
  • 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. So Kawahara made 279 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroshi Kiyotake is hanging Yoshiki Narahara on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Kawasaki Frontale team. Daiya Tono is replaced by Yusuke Segawa on 81 minute.
  • 86' Kawasaki Frontale is showing some good football. However, Kawasaki Frontale are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' Tae-hyeon Kim is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Vykintas Slivka by Tsubasa Terayama on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Kawasaki Frontale beats Sagan Tosu FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 Kawasaki Frontale xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kawasaki Frontale56% Draw23% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Kawasaki Frontale or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
44%
Kawasaki Frontale or Sagan Tosu FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kawasaki Frontale38% Draw41% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Kawasaki Frontale

Handicap Kawasaki Frontale covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
27%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.