Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Todoroki Athletics Stadium.
- Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 01 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | FC Tōkyō | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–5 | L |
| 11 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kawasaki Frontale is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 11' Kento Tachibanada puts Kawasaki Frontale on the lead.
- 16' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Asahi Sasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kawasaki Frontale that had 439 games and scored 556 goals.
- 26' Cayman Togashi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Erison suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' It is a substitution in Kawasaki Frontale team. Erison is replaced by Shin Yamada on 46 minute.
- 50' What a strike from Tojiro Kubo! The score is 1-1.
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Sai van Wermeskerken departs to be replaced by Sota Miura.
- 61' What a strike from Akihiro Ienaga! The score is 2-1.
- 63' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Shota Hino is replaced by Vykintas Slivka on 63 minute.
- 68' It’s high time Naoyuki Iwata made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 69' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Yasuto Wakizaka departs to be replaced by Marcinho.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. So Kawahara made 279 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 75' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroshi Kiyotake is hanging Yoshiki Narahara on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' It is a substitution in Kawasaki Frontale team. Daiya Tono is replaced by Yusuke Segawa on 81 minute.
- 86' Kawasaki Frontale is showing some good football. However, Kawasaki Frontale are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 90' Tae-hyeon Kim is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Vykintas Slivka by Tsubasa Terayama on 90 minute.
- Full Time. Kawasaki Frontale beats Sagan Tosu FC
Lineups
Kawasaki Frontale Lineups
Starting XI
- 41
-
14
Yasuto Wakizaka ↓ Marcinho 69'
- 31
- 44
-
17
Daiya Tono ↓ Yusuke Segawa 81'
- 8
-
9
Erison ↓ Shin Yamada 46'
-
5
Asahi Sasaki ↓ Yu Kobayashi 90'
- 19
- 1
-
10
Ryota Oshima ↓ Kota Takai 69'
Bench
-
11
Yu Kobayashi ↑ 90'
-
30
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 81'
-
23
Marcinho ↑ 69'
-
20
Shin Yamada ↑ 46'
-
2
Kota Takai ↑ 69'
-
13
Sota Miura ↑ 60'
- 98
Coach
Toru Oniki
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
- 6
- 71
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Yuki Horigome 75'
- 42
- 27
- 24
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Vykintas Slivka 63'
- 20
- 33
Bench
-
77
Vykintas Slivka ↑ 63'
-
55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 75'
- 4
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 75'
- 31
- 2
- 37
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Leandro Damiao | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Akihiro Ienaga | 2 |
| Marcinho | 2 |
| Shin Yamada | 1 |
| Yasuto Wakizaka | 1 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
Head to Head
Kawasaki Frontale Form
2024-09-13
Kawasaki Frontale
3–2
Sagan Tosu FC
W
2024-09-01
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2–0
Kawasaki Frontale
L
2024-08-17
Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
Yokohama F·Marinos
L
2024-08-11
FC Tōkyō
0–3
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2024-08-07
Kawasaki Frontale
3–0
Vissel Kobe
W
2024-07-20
Kashiwa Reysol
2–3
Kawasaki Frontale
W
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97
Kawasaki Frontale xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kawasaki Frontale win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw
78%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
44%
Kawasaki Frontale or Sagan Tosu FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kawasaki Frontale win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Kawasaki Frontale
| Handicap | Kawasaki Frontale covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 21% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

