FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Aug | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Tokyo is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
- 5' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Hwang Seokho has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Peter Cklamovski might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 18' A goal from the Japan international Yoichi Naganuma! He fires home on 18 to make it 0-1!
- 23' Jakub Slowik has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tokyo and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Henrique Trevisan.
- 32' GOAL! Cayman Togashi fires home to make it 0-2!
- 37' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 42' It’s high time Peter Cklamovski made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 47' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 52' So Kawahara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 54' GOAL! Adailton fires home to make it 1-2!
- 59' The deadlock is broken! Ryoma Watanabe gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
- 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
- 66' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Cayman Togashi is withdrawn and Atsushi Kawata gets his opportunity.
- 71' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 73' Jaja Silva is replacing Diego Oliveira for the FC Tokyo side.
- 78' Kota Tawaratsumida gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Adailton and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' The 30-year-old Kosuke Yamazaki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 85' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Masato Morishige is replaced by Yasuki Kimoto.
- 86' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuki Horigome is replaced by Ryonosuke Kabayama.
- 87' GOAL! Kota Tawaratsumida fires home to make it 3-2!
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 89 minute.
- Another three points for FC Tokyo.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
4-2-1-3Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 49
- 9
- 40
- 39
- 15
- 27
- 44
- 11
- 7
Bench
- 99
- 4
- 35
- 41
- 20
- 33
- 26
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 66'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 89'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 66'
- 24
- 71
- 44
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 19
- 6
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 89'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 86'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 66'
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 66'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaisei Ishii | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Yuki Kakita | 2 |
| Takahiro Ko | 1 |
| Yohei Toyoda | 1 |
| Masato Morishige | 1 |
| Cayman Togashi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
66%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
61%
FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.