FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Aug | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Ajinomoto Stadium that hosts another battle between FC Tōkyō and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 18' The Japan Yoichi Naganuma breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 0-1!
- 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 28' Ryonosuke Kabayama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Henrique Trevisan on 30 minutes.
- 32' What composure from Cayman Togashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' FC Tōkyō seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 47' Over 47 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 52' Kashif Bangunagande is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Tōkyō tonight.
- 54' Adailton doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 59' Assisted by Adailton with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryoma Watanabe makes no mistake. 0-4!
- 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tōkyō side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 66' Cayman Togashi makes way for Atsushi Kawata at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 71' Japan international Yuto Nagatomo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 73' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jaja Silva is hanging Diego Oliveira on the field on 73 minute.
- 78' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Adailton by Kota Tawaratsumida on 78 minute.
- 83' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 85' Yasuki Kimoto gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Masato Morishige and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' Ryonosuke Kabayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Horigome on 86 minute.
- 87' A goal from the Japan international Kota Tawaratsumida! He fires home on 87 to make it 0-5!
- 89' The crowd applauds Kohei Tezuka as he leaves the pitch. Naoyuki Fujita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- FC Tōkyō celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
4-2-1-3Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 49
- 9
- 40
- 39
- 15
- 27
- 44
- 11
- 7
Bench
- 99
- 4
- 35
- 41
- 20
- 33
- 26
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 66'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 89'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 66'
- 24
- 71
- 44
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
- 19
- 6
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 89'
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 86'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 66'
- 31
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 66'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaisei Ishii | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Yuki Kakita | 2 |
| Jael | 1 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 1 |
| Takahiro Ko | 1 |
| Yohei Toyoda | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
66%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
61%
FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

