Saturday , 15 August 2026

FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
3 2
Full Time
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Yoichi Naganuma
0–2 32' Cayman Togashi pen
Adailton 54' 1–2
Ryoma Watanabe 59' 2–2
Kota Tawaratsumida 87' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FCJ. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Sagan Tosu FC H 3–2 W
15 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
26 Aug Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D
19 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–2 L
12 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep FC Tokyo A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
12 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ajinomoto Stadium that hosts another battle between FC Tōkyō and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 18' The Japan Yoichi Naganuma breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 0-1!
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' Ryonosuke Kabayama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Henrique Trevisan on 30 minutes.
  • 32' What composure from Cayman Togashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' FC Tōkyō seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 47' Over 47 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 52' Kashif Bangunagande is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Tōkyō tonight.
  • 54' Adailton doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 59' Assisted by Adailton with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryoma Watanabe makes no mistake. 0-4!
  • 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tōkyō side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 66' Cayman Togashi makes way for Atsushi Kawata at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 71' Japan international Yuto Nagatomo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 73' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jaja Silva is hanging Diego Oliveira on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Adailton by Kota Tawaratsumida on 78 minute.
  • 83' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 85' Yasuki Kimoto gets the nod from FC Tokyo. He replaces Masato Morishige and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Ryonosuke Kabayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuki Horigome on 86 minute.
  • 87' A goal from the Japan international Kota Tawaratsumida! He fires home on 87 to make it 0-5!
  • 89' The crowd applauds Kohei Tezuka as he leaves the pitch. Naoyuki Fujita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • FC Tōkyō celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo39% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC34%
Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
66%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
61%
FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tokyo27% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC27%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
25%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.