Tokyo Verdy vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kashima Antlers | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | FC Tokyo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 3–5 | L |
| 11 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
| Naoki Hayashi | 2 G |
| Shuhei Mizoguchi | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Ajinomoto Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Tōkyō Verdy and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Wataru Harada is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Tōkyō Verdy tonight.
- 15' Tōkyō Verdy are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kosuke Yamazaki on 18.
- 19' Fuki Yamada has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
- 24' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 34' It’s high time Hiroshi Jofuku made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Tōkyō Verdy and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 44' Koki Morita has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 46' Naoki Hayashi gets the nod from Tokyo Verdy. He replaces Hiroto Taniguchi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kazuya Miyahara on 48.
- 53' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 58' Yuki Horigome has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 61' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Fuki Yamada by Yuta Matsumura on 61 minute.
- 62' That is a card for Sagan Tosu FC. Kento Nishiya will be fuming at that decision.
- 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 72' Tōkyō Verdy started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 73' The whistle greets Cayman Togashi as he departs to be replaced by Vinicius Araujo.
- 77' Another substitution for Tokyo Verdy to replace Yudai Kimura by Tomoya Miki on 77 minute.
- 81' A goal from the Japan international Hijiri Onaga! He fires home on 81 to make it 0-2!
- 83' The whistle greets Akito Fukuta as he departs to be replaced by Keisuke Sakaiya.
- 88' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Hikaru Nakahara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' It is a substitution in Tokyo Verdy team. Kosuke Saito is replaced by Yuan Matsuhashi on 90 minute.
- Tōkyō Verdy celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 1
- 20
- 11
- 18
- 15
- 3
- 23
Bench
- 14
- 47
- 9
- 33
- 21
- 4
- 10
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 83'
- 77
- 71
- 8
- 42
- 2
- 24
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Yuki Horigome 73'
- 33
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 73'
-
55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 61'
- 4
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 73'
- 31
- 37
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 83'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuan Matsuhashi | 1 |
| Yudai Kimura | 1 |
| Hijiri Onaga | 1 |
| Fuki Yamada | 1 |
Tokyo Verdy Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82
Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Tokyo Verdy to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Tokyo Verdy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
86%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
37%
Tokyo Verdy or Sagan Tosu FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Tokyo Verdy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy
| Handicap | Tokyo Verdy covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

