FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tōkyō launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' Japan international Akito Fukuta has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' FC Tōkyō are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' FC Tōkyō are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daichi Suzuki made 279 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 54' Poor challenge from Wataru Harada. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 59' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yasuki Kimoto.
- 61' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuki Horigome exits the field as Ryohei Watanabe enters on 61.
- 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tae-hyeon Kim on 65.
- 68' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Keita Endo comes on to replace Kota Tawaratsumida.
- 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vykintas Slivka makes it 0-1.
- 78' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 82' The Japan Takahiro Ko breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 0-2!
- 84' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Akito Fukuta by Daichi Suzuki on 84 minute.
- 87' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Leon Nozawa comes on to replace Soma Anzai.
- 90' Yuta Imazu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hikaru Nakahara at the 90 minute mark.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 10
- 9
- 8
- 4
- 30
- 41
- 71
- 33
- 38
Bench
- 40
- 22
- 13
- 2
- 11
- 14
- 28
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Daichi Suzuki 84'
- 77
- 99
- 71
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Yuta Imazu 90'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 61'
- 42
- 2
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Cayman Togashi 61'
- 20
- 33
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 61'
- 14
-
4
Yuta Imazu ↑ 90'
- 31
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 84'
-
47
Daichi Suzuki ↑ 84'
-
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 61'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaisei Ishii | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Yuki Kakita | 2 |
| Jael | 1 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 1 |
| Takahiro Ko | 1 |
| Yohei Toyoda | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
73%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
53%
FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.