FC Arouca vs FC Porto, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs FC Porto — Primeira Liga .
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | FC Porto | H | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | CD Nacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | Vitória SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Rio Ave FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–6 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | FC Arouca | A | 4–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Rio Ave FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | CD Nacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Casa Pia AC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #1 |
| 42 | Points | 88 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 28 / 4 / 2 |
| 47 | Scored | 66 |
| 64 | Conceded | 18 |
| -17 | GD | +48 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 2.59 |
| 35% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
62%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). FC Porto are 1st (88 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Porto
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
FC Porto Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mehdi Taremi | 5 |
| Marcano | 3 |
| Vitor Ferreira | 2 |
| Samu Omorodion | 2 |
| Evanilson | 2 |
| Cristo Gonzalez | 2 |
| Otavio | 1 |
| Deniz Gul | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.62
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.74
FC Porto xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto to win 71% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
29%
Draw or FC Porto
88%
FC Arouca or FC Porto
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
13.2%
0 – 3
11.6%
0 – 1
9.6%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
7.1%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 4
5%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 5
4.4%
1 – 5
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | FC Porto covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -1.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -0.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| +0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +1 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| +1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +2 | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| +2.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

