Thursday , 2 July 2026

Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
2 1
Full Time
Mon 2 Feb 2026 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Casa Pia AC vs FC PortoPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Pedro Ramalho
5 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 3.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb FC Porto H 2–1 W
23 Jan AVS H 3–3 D
16 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
04 Jan Rio Ave FC A 1–3 L
28 Dec Vitória SC H 0–0 D
21 Dec CD Tondela A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb Casa Pia AC A 1–2 L
29 Jan Rangers FC H 3–1 W
26 Jan Gil Vicente FC H 3–0 W
22 Jan FC Viktoria Plzen A 1–1 D
18 Jan Vitória SC A 1–0 W
04 Jan CD Santa Clara A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC FC Porto
#16 Position #1
30 Points 88
34 Played 34
6 / 12 / 16 W / D / L 28 / 4 / 2
31 Scored 66
57 Conceded 18
-26 GD +48
0.88 PPG 2.59
18% Win % 82%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
62% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season

Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts). FC Porto are 1st (88 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Porto
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.79 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96 FC Porto xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC21% Draw25% FC Porto54%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
46%
Draw or FC Porto
79%
Casa Pia AC or FC Porto
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC12% Draw43% FC Porto45%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
12%
0 – 1
11.9%
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
7.7%
1 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 4
3.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push FC Porto covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 37% 63%
+1 37% 24% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 20% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
15%
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.