FC Arouca vs FC Porto, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs FC Porto — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC Porto | H | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | SC Farense | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Feb | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | CD Nacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Jan | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC Arouca | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Vitória SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | AS Roma | A | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Feb | SC Farense | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | AS Roma | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #1 |
| 42 | Points | 88 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 28 / 4 / 2 |
| 47 | Scored | 66 |
| 64 | Conceded | 18 |
| -17 | GD | +48 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 2.59 |
| 35% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
62%
Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
FC Porto this season
FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). FC Porto are 1st (88 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Porto
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Municipal de Arouca. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' FC Porto are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Guinea international Morlaye Sylla has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Samu Omorodion makes it 0-1.
- 16' It’s gonna be a card for Chico Lamba.
- 21' Chico Lamba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Porto so far.
- 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joao Mario Lopes, as he is very good at scoring at Municipal de Arouca with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 31' FC Porto has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 41' Daniel Namaso, a Cameroon , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' FC Arouca have won 181 goals from 171 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alfonso Trezza.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Porto needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Arouca that had 171 games and scored 181 goals.
- 62' Nehuen Perez was booked on 62.
- 64' FC Porto make a change. Goncalo Borges trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Namaso on 64 minutes.
- 67' The FC Arouca bench stirs into life. Alex Pinto is withdrawn and Puche gets his opportunity.
- 72' FC Porto is showing some good football. However, FC Porto are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 76' The FC Porto bench stirs into life. Marcano is withdrawn and Ze Pedro Figueiredo gets his opportunity.
- 77' A stunning finish from Fabio Vieira — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 77' FC Arouca make a change. David Simao trudges off to be replaced by Pedro Santos on 77 minutes.
- 81' Guven Yalcin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dylan Nandin on 81 minute.
- 82' Another substitution for FC Arouca to replace Morlaye Sylla by Henrique Araujo on 82 minute.
- 83' A moment of madness from Fabio Vieira on 83 minutes earns him a card. FC Porto will be frustrated.
- 85' FC Porto ring the changes. Moura has done his job and it is now time for Zaidu Sanusi to step up.
- 86' The FC Porto bench stirs into life. Samu Omorodion is withdrawn and William da Silva gets his opportunity.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
5
David Simao ↓ Pedro Santos 77'
- 1
-
78
Alex Pinto ↓ Puche 67'
- 3
- 26
- 21
-
2
Morlaye Sylla ↓ Henrique Araujo 82'
- 73
-
19
Alfonso Trezza ↓ Brian Mansilla 76'
-
23
Dylan Nandin ↓ Guven Yalcin 81'
Bench
- 31
-
50
Guven Yalcin ↑ 81'
- 27
-
39
Henrique Araujo ↑ 82'
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 77'
-
11
Puche ↑ 67'
- 4
-
24
Brian Mansilla ↑ 76'
- 30
Coach
Vasco Seabra
FC Porto Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
5
Marcano ↓ Ze Pedro Figueiredo 76'
- 24
- 99
- 10
- 23
-
74
Moura ↓ Zaidu Sanusi 85'
- 4
- 22
-
70
Goncalo Borges ↓ Daniel Namaso 64'
- 9
- 86
Bench
-
19
Daniel Namaso ↑ 64'
- 14
- 6
-
12
Zaidu Sanusi ↑ 85'
-
7
William da Silva ↑ 86'
- 20
-
97
Ze Pedro Figueiredo ↑ 76'
- 27
-
52
Martim Fernandes ↑ 76'
Coach
Martin Anselmi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mehdi Taremi | 5 |
| Marcano | 3 |
| Vitor Ferreira | 2 |
| Samu Omorodion | 2 |
| Evanilson | 2 |
| Cristo Gonzalez | 2 |
| Jason | 1 |
| Rafa Mujica | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.78
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.22
FC Porto xG
I would bet for:
FC Porto to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
41%
Draw or FC Porto
82%
FC Arouca or FC Porto
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Porto win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
8.8%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
0 – 4
4.9%
1 – 4
3.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%
2 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | FC Porto covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +1 | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

