Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nashville SC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Orlando City SC H 5–1 W
17 Aug New York City FC A 1–2 L
10 Aug St. Louis City A 1–3 L
26 Jul San Diego FC A 0–1 L
20 Jul Toronto FC H 1–0 W
17 Jul Columbus Crew SC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Nashville SC A 1–5 L
17 Aug Sporting Kansas City H 3–1 W
11 Aug Internacional CF Miami H 4–1 W
25 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 3–1 W
19 Jul New England Revolution A 2–1 W
17 Jul New York City FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC Orlando City SC
#1 Position #13
33 Points 14
14 Played 15
10 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 9
31 Scored 23
11 Conceded 44
+20 GD -21
2.36 PPG 0.93
71% Win % 27%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
/1
46-60
3/
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Geodis Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sam Surridge makes it 1-0.
  • 8' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nashville SC and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 13' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hany Mukhtar makes it 2-0.
  • 22' Marco Pasalic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 32' Nashville SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' Nashville SC have won 305 goals from 211 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 40' GOAL! Hany Mukhtar fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 43' GOAL! Sam Surridge scores on 43. Assisted by Jacob Shaffelburg
  • 48' Nashville SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kyle Smith.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' A tactical swap from Orlando City SCEduard Atuesta on, Cesar Araujo off on 58 minutes.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Nashville SCAhmed Qasem on, Jacob Shaffelburg off on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Luis Muriel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 10 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joe Willis.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Orlando City SCLuis Muriel on, Dagur THorhallsson off on 74 minutes.
  • 76' What a moment for Luis Muriel! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 76' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Gaston Brugman exits the field as Bryan Acosta enters on 76.
  • 81' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 81.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Ahmed Qasem is booked for Nashville SC — card on 82.
  • 87' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 88' Nashville SC ring the changes. Alex Muyl has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Perez to step up.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Joran Gerbet is replaced by Zakaria Taifi.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Rodrigo Schlegel is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nashville SC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.55 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Nashville SC to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC71% Draw16% Orlando City SC13%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 4.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
87%
Draw or Orlando City SC
29%
Nashville SC or Orlando City SC
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC64% Draw28% Orlando City SC8%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.7%
4 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
4 – 0
6.7%
5 – 1
Actual
5 – 0
4.7%
1 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 46% 54%
-2 46% 19% 35%
-1.5 65% 35%
-1 65% 16% 19%
-0.5 81% 19%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
36%
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
4%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.