Nashville SC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 14 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | San Diego FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug | Nashville SC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 17 Aug | Sporting Kansas City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Jul | New England Revolution | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jul | New York City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 14 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 10 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 9 |
| 31 | Scored | 23 |
| 11 | Conceded | 44 |
| +20 | GD | -21 |
| 2.36 | PPG | 0.93 |
| 71% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
–/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Geodis Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 3' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sam Surridge makes it 1-0.
- 8' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nashville SC and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 13' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hany Mukhtar makes it 2-0.
- 22' Marco Pasalic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 32' Nashville SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 37' Nashville SC have won 305 goals from 211 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' GOAL! Hany Mukhtar fires home to make it 3-0!
- 43' GOAL! Sam Surridge scores on 43. Assisted by Jacob Shaffelburg
- 48' Nashville SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 50' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kyle Smith.
- 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 58' A tactical swap from Orlando City SC — Eduard Atuesta on, Cesar Araujo off on 58 minutes.
- 63' A tactical swap from Nashville SC — Ahmed Qasem on, Jacob Shaffelburg off on 63 minutes.
- 68' Luis Muriel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 10 cards already picked up this season.
- 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joe Willis.
- 74' A tactical swap from Orlando City SC — Luis Muriel on, Dagur THorhallsson off on 74 minutes.
- 76' What a moment for Luis Muriel! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
- 76' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Gaston Brugman exits the field as Bryan Acosta enters on 76.
- 81' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 81.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Ahmed Qasem is booked for Nashville SC — card on 82.
- 87' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 88' Nashville SC ring the changes. Alex Muyl has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Perez to step up.
- 89' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Joran Gerbet is replaced by Zakaria Taifi.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Rodrigo Schlegel is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nashville SC players.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Gaston Brugman ↓ Bryan Acosta 76'
-
19
Alex Muyl ↓ Jonathan Perez 88'
- 1
- 25
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Tate Schmitt 76'
- 10
-
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↓ Ahmed Qasem 63'
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Edvard Tagseth 88'
- 22
- 4
Bench
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 76'
- 12
- 11
-
3
Tate Schmitt ↑ 76'
-
20
Edvard Tagseth ↑ 88'
- 5
-
24
Jonathan Perez ↑ 88'
- 99
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↑ 63'
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
- 1
- 6
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Alex Freeman 58'
- 7
-
5
Cesar Araujo ↓ Eduard Atuesta 58'
- 17
- 14
- 11
-
35
Joran Gerbet ↓ Zakaria Taifi 89'
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 74'
- 10
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↑ 58'
- 77
-
30
Alex Freeman ↑ 58'
- 4
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↑ 58'
- 12
-
96
Zakaria Taifi ↑ 89'
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 7 |
| Daryl Dike | 6 |
| Duncan McGuire | 2 |
| Randall Leal | 2 |
| Facundo Torres Perez | 2 |
| Sam Surridge | 2 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Benji Michel | 2 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Orlando City SC Form
2025-08-24
Nashville SC
5–1
Orlando City SC
L
2025-08-17
Orlando City SC
3–1
Sporting Kansas City
W
2025-08-11
Orlando City SC
4–1
Internacional CF Miami
W
2025-07-25
Columbus Crew SC
1–3
Orlando City SC
W
2025-07-19
New England Revolution
1–2
Orlando City SC
W
2025-07-17
Orlando City SC
1–2
New York City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.55
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Nashville SC to win 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
87%
Draw or Orlando City SC
29%
Nashville SC or Orlando City SC
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.7%
4 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
4 – 0
6.7%
5 – 1
Actual
5 – 0
4.7%
1 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -2 | 46% | 19% | 35% |
| -1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| -1 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

