Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FC Dallas | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #8 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 62 | Scored | 67 |
| 61 | Conceded | 75 |
| +1 | GD | -8 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 38% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Portland Timbers launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevin Kelsy, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 8 goals in the last 6 games.
- 10' A stunning finish from Kevin Denkey — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 13' Kevin Kelsy picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 18' Portland Timbers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' Goal! Pavel Bucha scores his 13 goal in 169 matches.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 36' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 36 puts his side firmly in control.
- 38' A goal from the Venezuela international Kevin Kelsy! He fires home on 38 to make it 1-3!
- 43' Sierra Leone international Kei Kamara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Miles Robinson is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 45.
- 50' Portland Timbers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 55' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 58' Another change for Portland Timbers made on 58 minute. Julio Ortiz leaves to be changed by Cristhian Paredes.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cristhian Paredes.
- 65' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 68' Kevin Kelsy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 11 goals this season for the .
- 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 78' FC Cincinnati make a change. Miles Robinson trudges off to be replaced by Teenage Hadebe on 78 minutes.
- 82' Portland Timbers make a change. Kamal Miller trudges off to be replaced by Dario Zuparic on 82 minutes.
- 83' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Ariel Lassiter has done his job and it is now time for Omir Fernandez to step up.
- 85' The crowd applauds David Ayala as he leaves the pitch. Felipe Mora steps in for Portland Timbers.
- 90' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Alvas Powell comes on to replace DeAndre Yedlin.
- It finishes all square. Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 2-3.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
4
Kamal Miller ↓ Dario Zuparic 82'
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Omir Fernandez 83'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Felipe Mora 85'
- 10
- 11
- 20
- 19
- 29
- 27
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Cristhian Paredes 58'
Bench
- 21
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 58'
- 41
- 15
-
13
Dario Zuparic ↑ 82'
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 83'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 85'
- 23
- 88
Coach
Phil Neville
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Alvas Powell 90'
- 21
- 4
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Teenage Hadebe 78'
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Kei Kamara 58'
- 18
- 29
- 37
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Kenji Mboma 58'
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 90'
- 14
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 58'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 78'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 90'
-
35
Kenji Mboma ↑ 58'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Kendall Waston | 1 |
| Allan Cruz | 1 |
| Jaroslaw Niezgoda | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
59%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
65%
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 17% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

