Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FC Dallas | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #28 | Position | #7 |
| 14 | Points | 20 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 36 |
| 28 | Conceded | 37 |
| -6 | GD | -1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 29% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Portland Timbers are 28th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Portland Timbers to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Kei Kamara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Goal! Kevin Denkey scores his 77 goal in 190 matches.
- 13' The referee calls foul for Kevin Kelsy. He receives a card.
- 18' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 23' It’s high time Phil Neville made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' What a strike from Pavel Bucha! The score is 0-2.
- 30' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Stiven Jimenez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 36' GOAL! Evander scores on 36. Assisted by Matt Miazga
- 38' GOAL! Kevin Kelsy scores on 38. Assisted by Ariel Lassiter
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
- 45' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 45.
- 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 58' Cristhian Paredes is replacing Julio Ortiz for the Portland Timbers side.
- 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Cristhian Paredes.
- 65' DeAndre Yedlin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 68' What a strike from Kevin Kelsy! The score is 2-3.
- 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 78' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Miles Robinson is replaced by Teenage Hadebe on 78 minute.
- 82' The Portland Timbers manager makes a substitution. Kamal Miller departs to be replaced by Dario Zuparic.
- 83' It is a substitution in Portland Timbers team. Ariel Lassiter is replaced by Omir Fernandez on 83 minute.
- 85' Felipe Mora has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Ayala on 85 minute.
- 90' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. DeAndre Yedlin departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
- The final score is 2-3.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
4
Kamal Miller ↓ Dario Zuparic 82'
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Omir Fernandez 83'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Felipe Mora 85'
- 10
- 11
- 20
- 19
- 29
- 27
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Cristhian Paredes 58'
Bench
- 21
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 58'
- 41
- 15
-
13
Dario Zuparic ↑ 82'
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 83'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 85'
- 23
- 88
Coach
Phil Neville
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Alvas Powell 90'
- 21
- 4
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Teenage Hadebe 78'
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Kei Kamara 58'
- 18
- 29
- 37
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Kenji Mboma 58'
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 90'
- 14
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 58'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 78'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 90'
-
35
Kenji Mboma ↑ 58'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Jurgen Locadia | 1 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Sergio Santos | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.88
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.4
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
70%
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 4
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 18% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.