Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FC Dallas | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #6 |
| 24 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 33 | Scored | 45 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +0 | GD | +1 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
4/5
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/–
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 8 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' What composure from Kevin Denkey! The Togo international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 13' The referee calls foul for Kevin Kelsy. He receives a card.
- 18' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
- 25' Assisted by Evander with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pavel Bucha makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alvas Powell made 288 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' Against the run of play, Evander has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 38' Kevin Kelsy doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 43' Portland Timbers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ender Echenique, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 55' Kenji Mboma has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Julio Ortiz exits the field as Cristhian Paredes enters on 58.
- 60' Cristhian Paredes was booked on 60.
- 65' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 68' Kevin Kelsy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
- 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 78' Teenage Hadebe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Miles Robinson at the 78 minute mark.
- 82' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Kamal Miller by Dario Zuparic on 82 minute.
- 83' Omir Fernandez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ariel Lassiter at the 83 minute mark.
- 85' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace David Ayala by Felipe Mora on 85 minute.
- 90' Alvas Powell is replacing DeAndre Yedlin for the FC Cincinnati side.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Portland Timbers.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
4
Kamal Miller ↓ Dario Zuparic 82'
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Omir Fernandez 83'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Felipe Mora 85'
- 10
- 11
- 20
- 19
- 29
- 27
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Cristhian Paredes 58'
Bench
- 21
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 58'
- 41
- 15
-
13
Dario Zuparic ↑ 82'
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 83'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 85'
- 23
- 88
Coach
Phil Neville
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Alvas Powell 90'
- 21
- 4
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Teenage Hadebe 78'
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Kei Kamara 58'
- 18
- 29
- 37
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Kenji Mboma 58'
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 90'
- 14
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 58'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 78'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 90'
-
35
Kenji Mboma ↑ 58'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Kendall Waston | 1 |
| Allan Cruz | 1 |
| Jaroslaw Niezgoda | 1 |
| Jurgen Locadia | 1 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.13
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
66%
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
2 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 17% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 13% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

