New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2022

New York Red Bulls

1 – 1

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 20 Aug 2022 · 22:00 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 37' Matt Miazga

Y 66' Obinna Nwobodo

Daniel Edelman 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-08-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-19 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Aug	FC Cincinnati	H	1–1	D
17 Aug	Atlanta United FC	A	2–1	W
13 Aug	Orlando City SC	H	0–1	L
06 Aug	D.C. United SC	A	0–0	D
02 Aug	Colorado Rapids SC	H	4–5	L
25 Jul	Austin FC	A	4–3	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Aug	New York Red Bulls	A	1–1	D
13 Aug	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
06 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	3–1	W
31 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	A	4–4	D
23 Jul	Nashville SC	H	1–1	D
17 Jul	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#10	Position	#9
33	Points	33
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
34	Scored	55
48	Conceded	64
-14	GD	-9
1.27	PPG	1.27
35%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and New York Red Bulls launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
5' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
10' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
13' What a strike from Matt Miazga! The score is 0-1.
14' The deadlock is broken! Matt Miazga gets on the scoresheet on 14 minutes.
19' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
23' What a strike from Patryk Klimala! The score is 1-2.
28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
33' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
37' Matt Miazga has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 37.
42' John Nelson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
47' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
52' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
57' Andres Reyes, a Colombia , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
58' Aaron Long is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andres Reyes at the 58 minute mark.
62' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Matt Miazga by Ian Murphy on 62 minute.
66' Obinna Nwobodo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 66.
71' With 2 assists to his name this season, Daniel Edelman is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
75' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Dru Yearwood has done his job and it is now time for Steven Sserwadda to step up.
77' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Raymon Gaddis on, Alvas Powell off on 77 minutes.
78' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Junior Moreno exits the field as Yuya Kubo enters on 78.
83' The crowd applauds Patryk Klimala as he leaves the pitch. Tom Barlow steps in for New York Red Bulls.
85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel Edelman on 85.
90' The whistle greets Brandon Vazquez as he departs to be replaced by Arquimides Ordonez.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

33
Aaron Long ↑ 58'
18
Ryan Meara
10
Lewis Morgan ↑ 58'
82
Luquinhas ↑ 58'
8
Frankie Amaya
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 83'
12
Dylan Nealis
13
Tyler Pasher
65
Steven Sserwadda ↑ 75'

Coach Gerhard Struber

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

20
Geoff Cameron
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Ian Murphy 62'
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Raymon Gaddis 77'
4
Nick Hagglund
10
Luciano Acosta
93
Junior Moreno ↓ Yuya Kubo 78'
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 90'
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ John Nelson 78'
5
Obinna Nwobodo
9
Brenner da Silva
18
Roman Celentano

Bench

24
Tyler Blackett
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 78'
8
Allan Cruz
1
Alec Kann
3
John Nelson ↑ 78'
12
Calvin Harris
29
Arquimides Ordonez ↑ 90'
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 62'
28
Raymon Gaddis ↑ 77'

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2022-08-17 Atlanta United FC 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2022-08-13 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Orlando City SC L 2022-08-06 D.C. United SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2022-08-02 New York Red Bulls 4–5 Colorado Rapids SC L 2022-07-25 Austin FC 3–4 New York Red Bulls W

FC Cincinnati Form

2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2022-08-13 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2022-08-06 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Philadelphia Union W 2022-07-31 Internacional CF Miami 4–4 FC Cincinnati D 2022-07-23 FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SC D 2022-07-17 Columbus Crew SC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.83 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls40% Draw24% FC Cincinnati36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.7

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

64%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

60%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls30% Draw40% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.6%

2 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 3

4.7%

3 – 1

4.6%

0 – 2

4.4%

2 – 3

4.3%

3 – 2

4.2%

2 – 0

4.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

1 – 0

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	17%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	18%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.