New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2022 PLAYOFFS

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MLS · 2022

New York Red Bulls

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 15 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-07-09 FC Cincinnati 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-08-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
09 Oct	Charlotte FC	H	2–0	W
01 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
17 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–2	L
10 Sep	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
03 Sep	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
09 Oct	D.C. United SC	A	5–2	W
01 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–3	L
28 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	Real Salt Lake	A	2–1	W
10 Sep	San Jose Earthquakes	H	6–0	W

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		FC Cincinnati
#11	Position	#8
42	Points	46
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
48	Scored	67
62	Conceded	75
-14	GD	-8
1.24	PPG	1.35
35%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! New York Red Bulls welcome FC Cincinnati for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2
Florian Valot	2
Yuya Kubo	2
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-09 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Charlotte FC W 2022-10-01 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2022-09-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls L 2022-09-10 New York Red Bulls 2–1 New England Revolution W 2022-09-03 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union L

FC Cincinnati Form

2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-09 D.C. United SC 2–5 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC L 2022-09-28 Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2022-09-18 Real Salt Lake 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2022-09-10 FC Cincinnati 6–0 San Jose Earthquakes W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.68 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.84 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls34% Draw25% FC Cincinnati41%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.52

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

66%

New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls28% Draw41% FC Cincinnati31%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.4%

2 – 2

6.7%

0 – 2

1 – 3

4.9%

0 – 1

4.8%

1 – 0

4.4%

0 – 0

4.4%

2 – 0

4.2%

2 – 3

4.2%

3 – 1

4.1%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	17%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	19%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.