FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

FC Cincinnati

0 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sat 2 Oct 2021 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 52' Andres Reyes

Ronald Matarrita 90' Y

Luciano Acosta 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-08-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-19 New York Red Bulls 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2020-07-23 FC Cincinnati 2–0 New York Red Bulls 2020-03-01 New York Red Bulls 3–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	New York Red Bulls	H	0–1	L
29 Sep	Toronto FC	A	2–3	L
25 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	2–4	L
18 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
15 Sep	Atlanta United FC	A	0–4	L
12 Sep	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
29 Sep	Philadelphia Union	H	1–1	D
26 Sep	New York City FC	A	1–0	W
23 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–1	D
17 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	A	4–0	W
14 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York Red Bulls
#8	Position	#11
46	Points	42
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
67	Scored	48
75	Conceded	62
-8	GD	-14
1.35	PPG	1.24
35%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls is underway.
5' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' Carlos Miguel has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 226 appearances.
25' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
30' Wikelman Carmona, a Venezuela , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
35' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Emil Forsberg scoring 1 goals.
40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
45' Argentina international Luciano Acosta has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
46' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Frankie Amaya by Daniel Royer on 46 minute.
51' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Ronald Matarrita has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
52' Poor challenge from Andres Reyes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
57' Sean Nealis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
60' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Omir Fernandez has done his job and it is now time for Dru Yearwood to step up.
61' Isaac Atanga makes way for Alvaro Barreal at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
66' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Frankie Amaya, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
73' Magnificent from Andrew Gutman! That is 16 goals in 264 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
76' Arquimides Ordonez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuya Kubo on 76 minute.
77' The supporters are chanting for Kamohelo Mokotjo. He replaces Haris Medunjanin on 77 minute.
78' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Patryk Klimala by Tom Barlow on 78 minute.
83' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
86' Calvin Harris has so much to prove this time. He replaces Caleb Stanko on 86 minute.
90' Ronald Matarrita catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
The referee brings this contest to a close. New York Red Bulls take all three points.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

3
Tyler Blackett
12
Geoff Cameron
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Calvin Harris 86'
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 76'
6
Haris Medunjanin ↓ Kamohelo Mokotjo 77'
14
Nick Hagglund
11
Luciano Acosta
18
Ronald Matarrita
23
Isaac Atanga ↓ Alvaro Barreal 61'
22
Przemyslaw Tyton
9
Brenner da Silva

Bench

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 60'
77
Daniel Royer ↑ 46'
18
Ryan Meara
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 78'
44
Youba Diarra
47
John Tolkin ↑ 46'
17
Cameron Harper
37
Caden Clark ↑ 46'

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Denkey	4
Lewis Morgan	3
Frankie Amaya	2
Kaku	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Luciano Acosta	2
Matt Miazga	2
Kyle Duncan	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls L 2021-09-29 Toronto FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-25 D.C. United SC 4–2 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-18 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York City FC L 2021-09-15 Atlanta United FC 4–0 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-12 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W

New York Red Bulls Form

2021-10-02 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York Red Bulls W 2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2021-09-26 New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls W 2021-09-23 New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC D 2021-09-17 Internacional CF Miami 0–4 New York Red Bulls W 2021-09-14 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.65 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.51 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati38% Draw27% New York Red Bulls35%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.16

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

64%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

62%

FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati30% Draw43% New York Red Bulls27%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

2 – 1

8.4%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 0

6.2%

0 – 0

5.9%

2 – 0

5.8%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	19%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	17%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

20% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.