FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | A | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 20 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 36 | Scored | 25 |
| 37 | Conceded | 32 |
| -1 | GD | -7 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 33% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls has kicked off!
- 5' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 283 games and scored 418 goals.
- 15' New York Red Bulls fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thomas Edwards made 380 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' New York Red Bulls make a change. Frankie Amaya trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Royer on 46 minutes.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andres Reyes on 52.
- 57' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 60 minute. Omir Fernandez leaves to be changed by Dru Yearwood.
- 61' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alvaro Barreal is hanging Isaac Atanga on the field on 61 minute.
- 66' USA international Geoff Cameron has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 71' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Emil Forsberg scoring 1 goals.
- 73' Andrew Gutman makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
- 76' FC Cincinnati make a change. Yuya Kubo trudges off to be replaced by Arquimides Ordonez on 76 minutes.
- 77' FC Cincinnati make a change. Haris Medunjanin trudges off to be replaced by Kamohelo Mokotjo on 77 minutes.
- 78' The whistle greets Patryk Klimala as he departs to be replaced by Tom Barlow.
- 83' Carlos Miguel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 86' Calvin Harris is replacing Caleb Stanko for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 90' Ronald Matarrita was booked on 90.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 12
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Calvin Harris 86'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Arquimides Ordonez 76'
- 6
- 14
- 11
- 18
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↓ Alvaro Barreal 61'
- 22
- 9
Bench
-
15
Kamohelo Mokotjo ↑ 77'
- 25
- 64
- 8
- 2
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 61'
- 16
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 86'
-
29
Arquimides Ordonez ↑ 76'
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Thomas Edwards ↓ John Tolkin 46'
- 27
- 13
-
10
Patryk Klimala ↓ Tom Barlow 78'
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Dru Yearwood 60'
-
8
Frankie Amaya ↓ Daniel Royer 46'
- 15
- 5
- 4
- 23
-
19
Wikelman Carmona ↓ Caden Clark 46'
Bench
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 60'
-
77
Daniel Royer ↑ 46'
- 18
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 78'
- 44
-
47
John Tolkin ↑ 46'
- 17
-
37
Caden Clark ↑ 46'
Coach
Gerhard Struber
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2021-10-02
FC Cincinnati
0–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2021-09-29
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
2021-09-26
New York City FC
0–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2021-09-23
New York Red Bulls
1–1
New York City FC
D
2021-09-17
Internacional CF Miami
0–4
New York Red Bulls
W
2021-09-14
Columbus Crew SC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.16
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
66%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
58%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–1 not predicted0 – 1Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

