FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

FC Cincinnati

1 – 2

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 18 Sep 2021 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 26' Ismael Tajouri-Shradi

Geoff Cameron 48' Y

Y 69' Alfredo Morales

Alvaro Barreal 74' Y

Y 77' Andres Jasson

Y 83' Sean Johnson

Alvaro Barreal 85' R

Isaac Atanga 90' R

Y 90' Alexander Callens

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 3.9 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-09-18 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York City FC 2021-04-24 New York City FC 5–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-26 New York City FC 4–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-12 New York City FC 2–1 FC Cincinnati 2019-08-17 FC Cincinnati 1–4 New York City FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–2	L
15 Sep	Atlanta United FC	A	0–4	L
12 Sep	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
05 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–1	L
27 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–3	L
22 Aug	New England Revolution	A	1–4	L

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Sep	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
14 Sep	FC Dallas	H	3–3	D
11 Sep	New England Revolution	A	1–2	L
03 Sep	Nashville SC	A	1–3	L
28 Aug	New England Revolution	H	2–0	W
18 Aug	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York City FC
#9	Position	#8
33	Points	33
26	Played	27
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 10
55	Scored	41
64	Conceded	36
-9	GD	+5
1.27	PPG	1.22
31%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York City FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brenner da Silva makes it 1-0.
5' Brenner da Silva doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
10' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. New York City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
15' It’s high time Ronny Deila made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
25' New York City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
26' A moment of madness from Ismael Tajouri-Shradi on 26 minutes earns him a Yellow card. New York City FC will be frustrated.
31' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ronny Deila might look to freshen things up shortly.
36' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jaap Stam will be considering his options from the bench.
37' Keaton Parks makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and New York City FC are in front.
42' Edgar Castillo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
46' Another change for New York City FC made on 46 minute. Chris Gloster leaves to be changed by Andres Jasson.
48' Geoff Cameron picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chris Gloster, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
58' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
60' What a strike from Valentin Castellanos! The score is 2-2.
65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
68' The supporters are chanting for Allan Cruz. He replaces Haris Medunjanin on 68 minute.
69' The referee shows New York City FC player a Yellow card on 69.
71' The New York City FC manager makes a substitution. Jesus Medina departs to be replaced by Alexander Callens.
74' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 74.
77' It’s a booking for New York City FC player. Andres Jasson gets a Yellow card.
77' Tyler Blackett is replacing Geoff Cameron for the FC Cincinnati side.
82' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
83' Poor challenge from Sean Johnson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
84' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Alfredo Morales by Nicolas Acevedo on 84 minute.
85' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Alvaro Barreal on 85 minutes.
90' That looks like a foul for a Red card for Isaac Atanga.
90' The supporters are chanting for Tony Rocha. He replaces Ismael Tajouri-Shradi on 90 minute.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jaap Stam

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Alfredo Morales ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 84'
11
Valentin Castellanos
10
Maxi Moralez
4
Maxime Chanot
19
Jesus Medina ↓ Alexander Callens 71'
1
Sean Johnson
16
James Sands
55
Keaton Parks
2
Chris Gloster ↓ Andres Jasson 46'
20
Gudmundur Thorarinsson ↓ Malte Amundsen 84'
17
Ismael Tajouri-Shradi ↓ Tony Rocha 90'

Bench

12
Malte Amundsen ↑ 84'
6
Alexander Callens ↑ 71'
15
Tony Rocha ↑ 90'
9
Heber
13
Luis Barraza
23
Gedion Zelalem
43
Talles Magno
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 84'
21
Andres Jasson ↑ 46'

Coach Ronny Deila

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Jesus Medina	3
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Anton Tinnerholm	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2021-09-18 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York City FC L 2021-09-15 Atlanta United FC 4–0 FC Cincinnati L 2021-09-12 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2021-09-05 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Internacional CF Miami L 2021-08-27 Columbus Crew SC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2021-08-22 New England Revolution 4–1 FC Cincinnati L

New York City FC Form

2021-09-18 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York City FC W 2021-09-14 New York City FC 3–3 FC Dallas D 2021-09-11 New England Revolution 2–1 New York City FC L 2021-09-03 Nashville SC 3–1 New York City FC L 2021-08-28 New York City FC 2–0 New England Revolution W 2021-08-18 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.57 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati28% Draw24% New York City FC48%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

51%

Draw or New York City FC

72%

FC Cincinnati or New York City FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati23% Draw39% New York City FC38%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

6.2%

1 – 3

6.1%

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 3

4.8%

0 – 1

4.7%

0 – 3

0 – 0

3.7%

3 – 2

3.5%

1 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	14%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	20%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	15%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.