FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Jeremy Kieso
- Referee Silviu Petrescu
- Referee Ian McKay
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 20 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 36 | Scored | 25 |
| 37 | Conceded | 32 |
| -1 | GD | -7 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 33% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against New York Red Bulls. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brian White suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Aaron Long has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' Sean Davis, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Przemyslaw Tyton needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 39' Mathieu Deplagne catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 39.
- 43' Yuya Kubo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 43 minutes.
- 48' New York Red Bulls have won 418 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 53' USA international Andrew Gutman has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' Florian Valot adds to his 0 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 57' GOAL! Florian Valot fires home to make it 1-2!
- 60' The referee shows New York Red Bulls player a Yellow card on 60.
- 64' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 64 minute. Cristian Casseres leaves to be changed by Marc Rzatkowski.
- 66' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Yuya Kubo departs to be replaced by Siem de Jong.
- 71' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Emil Forsberg scoring 1 goals.
- 76' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 80' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Omir Fernandez is replaced by Tom Barlow.
- 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 88' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Caleb Stanko exits the field as Fatai Alashe enters on 88.
- 90' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Saad Abdul Salaam is hanging Joe Gyau on the field on 90 minute.
- The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Fatai Alashe 88'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Siem de Jong 66'
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Saad Abdul Salaam 90'
- 22
- 6
- 2
- 9
- 24
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 66'
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 88'
- 8
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 66'
- 4
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 88'
-
12
Saad Abdul Salaam ↑ 90'
- 31
- 26
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 24
-
10
Kaku ↓ Benjamin Mines 64'
-
77
Daniel Royer ↓ Brian White 80'
- 33
- 27
- 6
-
22
Florian Valot ↓ Jared Stroud 64'
- 23
- 3
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Tom Barlow 80'
Bench
- 39
-
90
Marc Rzatkowski ↑ 64'
- 26
- 18
- 19
-
42
Brian White ↑ 80'
-
17
Benjamin Mines ↑ 64'
- 40
- 15
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 80'
-
8
Jared Stroud ↑ 64'
- 7
Coach
Chris Armas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-07-23
FC Cincinnati
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-07-17
Columbus Crew SC
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-07-12
Atlanta United FC
0–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2020-03-07
Real Salt Lake
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-03-01
New York Red Bulls
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.44
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
52%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 18% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

