FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Jeremy Kieso
- Referee Silviu Petrescu
- Referee Ian McKay
5 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 45 | Scored | 29 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| +1 | GD | -10 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC Cincinnati welcome New York Red Bulls for this crunch clash at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- 5' A quiet spell here at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Marc Rzatkowski, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brian White is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 39' Controversy at the stadium! Mathieu Deplagne argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 43' What composure from Yuya Kubo! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 53' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 56' A stunning finish from Florian Valot — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 57' Florian Valot adds to his 0 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 60' Jason Pendant is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
- 64' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Cristian Casseres is withdrawn and Marc Rzatkowski gets his opportunity.
- 66' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Yuya Kubo exits the field as Siem de Jong enters on 66.
- 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 286 games and scored 422 goals.
- 76' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 80' Tom Barlow is replacing Omir Fernandez for the New York Red Bulls side.
- 85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tom Barlow suffering a number of foals already.
- 88' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Fatai Alashe comes on to replace Caleb Stanko.
- 90' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 90 minute. Joe Gyau leaves to be changed by Saad Abdul Salaam.
- FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Fatai Alashe 88'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Siem de Jong 66'
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Saad Abdul Salaam 90'
- 22
- 6
- 2
- 9
- 24
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 66'
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 88'
- 8
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 66'
- 4
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 88'
-
12
Saad Abdul Salaam ↑ 90'
- 31
- 26
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 24
-
10
Kaku ↓ Benjamin Mines 64'
-
77
Daniel Royer ↓ Brian White 80'
- 33
- 27
- 6
-
22
Florian Valot ↓ Jared Stroud 64'
- 23
- 3
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Tom Barlow 80'
Bench
- 39
-
90
Marc Rzatkowski ↑ 64'
- 26
- 18
- 19
-
42
Brian White ↑ 80'
-
17
Benjamin Mines ↑ 64'
- 40
- 15
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 80'
-
8
Jared Stroud ↑ 64'
- 7
Coach
Chris Armas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-07-23
FC Cincinnati
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-07-17
Columbus Crew SC
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-07-12
Atlanta United FC
0–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2020-03-07
Real Salt Lake
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-03-01
New York Red Bulls
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.59
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
72%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
49%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
6.4%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 15% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 19% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 13% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.