FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee M. de Oliveira
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Jeremy Kieso
- Referee Silviu Petrescu
- Referee Ian McKay
6 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #10 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 12 |
| 55 | Scored | 34 |
| 64 | Conceded | 51 |
| -9 | GD | -17 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.22 |
| 31% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
22%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/5
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 10 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Kyle Duncan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Jared Stroud is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 25' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 50% of all matches.
- 39' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 43' Yuya Kubo makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 56' Florian Valot has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
- 57' The deadlock is broken! Florian Valot gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
- 60' The referee calls foul for Jason Pendant. He receives a Yellow card.
- 64' Marc Rzatkowski is replacing Cristian Casseres for the New York Red Bulls side.
- 66' The crowd applauds Yuya Kubo as he leaves the pitch. Siem de Jong steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 71' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Emil Forsberg scoring 1 goals.
- 76' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York Red Bulls backline.
- 80' Tom Barlow is ready to make an impact after coming on for Omir Fernandez at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' New York Red Bulls have won 425 goals from 291 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 88' FC Cincinnati make a change. Caleb Stanko trudges off to be replaced by Fatai Alashe on 88 minutes.
- 90' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Saad Abdul Salaam is hanging Joe Gyau on the field on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Fatai Alashe 88'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Siem de Jong 66'
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Saad Abdul Salaam 90'
- 22
- 6
- 2
- 9
- 24
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 66'
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 88'
- 8
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 66'
- 4
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 88'
-
12
Saad Abdul Salaam ↑ 90'
- 31
- 26
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 24
-
10
Kaku ↓ Benjamin Mines 64'
-
77
Daniel Royer ↓ Brian White 80'
- 33
- 27
- 6
-
22
Florian Valot ↓ Jared Stroud 64'
- 23
- 3
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Tom Barlow 80'
Bench
- 39
-
90
Marc Rzatkowski ↑ 64'
- 26
- 18
- 19
-
42
Brian White ↑ 80'
-
17
Benjamin Mines ↑ 64'
- 40
- 15
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 80'
-
8
Jared Stroud ↑ 64'
- 7
Coach
Chris Armas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-07-23
FC Cincinnati
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-07-17
Columbus Crew SC
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-07-12
Atlanta United FC
0–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2020-03-07
Real Salt Lake
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-03-01
New York Red Bulls
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.08
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
71%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
53%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.7%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

