Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2021
Wed 29 Sep 2021 · 23:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep FC Cincinnati H 3–2 W
26 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 0–0 D
18 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
12 Sep FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
27 Aug Montreal Impact FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Toronto FC A 2–3 L
25 Sep D.C. United SC A 2–4 L
18 Sep New York City FC H 1–2 L
15 Sep Atlanta United FC A 0–4 L
12 Sep Toronto FC H 2–0 W
05 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#12 Position #8
39 Points 46
34 Played 34
9 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 12
52 Scored 67
67 Conceded 75
-15 GD -8
1.15 PPG 1.35
26% Win % 35%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Edgar Castillo made 291 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Ronald Matarrita, a Costa Rica , has 17 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' Toronto FC have won 397 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 32' Poor challenge from Florian Valot. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Florian Valot.
  • 38' Ronald Matarrita puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Edgar Castillo.
  • 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 48' Jacob Shaffelburg does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
  • 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Omar Gonzalez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
  • 55' Sensational shot from Marky Delgado. Toronto FC is back in the lead.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Ifunanyachi Achara on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
  • 61' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Florian Valot is replaced by Haris Medunjanin.
  • 65' What composure from Ifunanyachi Achara! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 66' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Ifunanyachi Achara exits the field as Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty enters on 66.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Geoff Cameron as he leaves the pitch. Tyler Blackett steps in for FC Cincinnati.
  • 72' What a moment for Luciano Acosta! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 74' The referee has no hesitation. Caleb Stanko is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 74.
  • 76' Yeferson Soteldo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 81' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 83' Justin Morrow is replacing Jacob Shaffelburg for the Toronto FC side.
  • 84' Brandon Vazquez is replacing Alvaro Barreal for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 89' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' The referee shows Toronto FC player a Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' Toronto FC ring the changes. Yeferson Soteldo has done his job and it is now time for Patrick Mullins to step up.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.43 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC52% Draw21% FC Cincinnati27%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC38% Draw36% FC Cincinnati26%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 18% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 14% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.