Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #6 |
| 17 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 24 | Scored | 45 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | +1 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 17% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds BMO Field will turn into a battlefield for Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Toronto FC have won 371 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Caleb Stanko, a United States , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 32' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Florian Valot.
- 33' Florian Valot was booked on 33.
- 38' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ronald Matarrita makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 41' Edgar Castillo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Allan Cruz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 48' A stunning finish from Jacob Shaffelburg — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 55' Toronto FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marky Delgado on 55.
- 60' Ifunanyachi Achara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 60.
- 61' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Haris Medunjanin is hanging Florian Valot on the field on 61 minute.
- 65' The Nigeria Ifunanyachi Achara breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 3-1!
- 66' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ifunanyachi Achara at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' The crowd applauds Geoff Cameron as he leaves the pitch. Tyler Blackett steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 72' Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 74' Caleb Stanko catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 74.
- 76' Toronto FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 81' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 83' The whistle greets Jacob Shaffelburg as he departs to be replaced by Justin Morrow.
- 84' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Alvaro Barreal is replaced by Brandon Vazquez.
- 89' Gustavo Vallecilla is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 90' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Patrick Mullins is replacing Yeferson Soteldo for the Toronto FC side.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Toronto FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 92
- 25
- 96
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 22
- 30
- 24
- 44
- 99
Bench
- 16
-
2
Justin Morrow ↑ 83'
- 5
- 18
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 90'
- 26
- 14
- 11
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 66'
Coach
Javier Perez
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Geoff Cameron ↓ Tyler Blackett 71'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Calvin Harris 61'
- 64
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Caleb Stanko 71'
- 2
- 11
- 18
- 31
- 22
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
3
Tyler Blackett ↑ 71'
- 15
- 25
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 71'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 61'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 84'
- 16
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 61'
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.4
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
51%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 18% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 15% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

