Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2021
Wed 29 Sep 2021 · 23:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep FC Cincinnati H 3–2 W
26 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 0–0 D
18 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
12 Sep FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
27 Aug Montreal Impact FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Toronto FC A 2–3 L
25 Sep D.C. United SC A 2–4 L
18 Sep New York City FC H 1–2 L
15 Sep Atlanta United FC A 0–4 L
12 Sep Toronto FC H 2–0 W
05 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#13 Position #9
29 Points 33
27 Played 26
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 9
39 Scored 55
51 Conceded 64
-12 GD -9
1.07 PPG 1.27
22% Win % 31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 32' The referee calls foul for Florian Valot. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Florian Valot. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 38' GOAL! Ronald Matarrita fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 41' Edgar Castillo was booked on 41.
  • 46' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' A goal from the Canada international Jacob Shaffelburg! He fires home on 48 to make it 1-1!
  • 53' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' Marky Delgado has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
  • 60' Ifunanyachi Achara picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Florian Valot has done his job and it is now time for Haris Medunjanin to step up.
  • 65' Magnificent from Ifunanyachi Achara! That is 3 goals in 288 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 66' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is replacing Ifunanyachi Achara for the Toronto FC side.
  • 71' Tyler Blackett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Geoff Cameron at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. 3-2!
  • 74' FC Cincinnati receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 74.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Yeferson Soteldo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Jacob Shaffelburg is replaced by Justin Morrow.
  • 84' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Alvaro Barreal has done his job and it is now time for Brandon Vazquez to step up.
  • 89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Javier Perez might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Patrick Mullins on, Yeferson Soteldo off on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.51 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC52% Draw21% FC Cincinnati27%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC39% Draw35% FC Cincinnati26%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.9%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 15% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 18% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 14% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.