Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #7 |
| 14 | Points | 20 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 36 |
| 29 | Conceded | 37 |
| -7 | GD | -1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 21% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati get this one started.
- 5' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' FC Cincinnati have won 352 goals from 245 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' It’s high time Javier Perez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 30' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 32' Controversy at the stadium! Florian Valot argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 33' Controversy at the stadium! Florian Valot argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 38' Ronald Matarrita puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
- 41' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 41.
- 46' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 48' Jacob Shaffelburg adds to his 0 season tally! Toronto FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 53' Alex Bono is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 55' Sensational shot from Marky Delgado. Toronto FC is back in the lead.
- 60' Toronto FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 61' The whistle greets Florian Valot as he departs to be replaced by Haris Medunjanin.
- 65' What composure from Ifunanyachi Achara! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 66' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ifunanyachi Achara at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Geoff Cameron is replaced by Tyler Blackett.
- 72' Luciano Acosta adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
- 74' Caleb Stanko was booked on 74.
- 76' Yeferson Soteldo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 76.
- 81' The 39-year-old Edgar Castillo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 83' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Justin Morrow comes on to replace Jacob Shaffelburg.
- 84' Brandon Vazquez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alvaro Barreal on 84 minute.
- 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 90' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Patrick Mullins on, Yeferson Soteldo off on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 3-2.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 92
- 25
- 96
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 22
- 30
- 24
- 44
- 99
Bench
- 16
-
2
Justin Morrow ↑ 83'
- 5
- 18
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 90'
- 26
- 14
- 11
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 66'
Coach
Javier Perez
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Geoff Cameron ↓ Tyler Blackett 71'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Calvin Harris 61'
- 64
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Caleb Stanko 71'
- 2
- 11
- 18
- 31
- 22
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
3
Tyler Blackett ↑ 71'
- 15
- 25
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 71'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 61'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 84'
- 16
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 61'
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.59
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
2 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 17% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 15% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

