Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 39 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 52 | Scored | 67 |
| 67 | Conceded | 75 |
| -15 | GD | -8 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Edgar Castillo made 291 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Ronald Matarrita, a Costa Rica , has 17 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' Toronto FC have won 397 goals from 300 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 32' Poor challenge from Florian Valot. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Florian Valot.
- 38' Ronald Matarrita puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
- 41' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Edgar Castillo.
- 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 48' Jacob Shaffelburg does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
- 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Omar Gonzalez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 55' Sensational shot from Marky Delgado. Toronto FC is back in the lead.
- 60' A moment of madness from Ifunanyachi Achara on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 61' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Florian Valot is replaced by Haris Medunjanin.
- 65' What composure from Ifunanyachi Achara! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 66' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Ifunanyachi Achara exits the field as Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty enters on 66.
- 71' The crowd applauds Geoff Cameron as he leaves the pitch. Tyler Blackett steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 72' What a moment for Luciano Acosta! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Caleb Stanko is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 74.
- 76' Yeferson Soteldo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 81' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 83' Justin Morrow is replacing Jacob Shaffelburg for the Toronto FC side.
- 84' Brandon Vazquez is replacing Alvaro Barreal for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 89' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 90' The referee shows Toronto FC player a Yellow card on 90.
- 90' Toronto FC ring the changes. Yeferson Soteldo has done his job and it is now time for Patrick Mullins to step up.
- The final score is 3-2.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 92
- 25
- 96
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 22
- 30
- 24
- 44
- 99
Bench
- 16
-
2
Justin Morrow ↑ 83'
- 5
- 18
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 90'
- 26
- 14
- 11
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 66'
Coach
Javier Perez
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Geoff Cameron ↓ Tyler Blackett 71'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Calvin Harris 61'
- 64
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Caleb Stanko 71'
- 2
- 11
- 18
- 31
- 22
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
3
Tyler Blackett ↑ 71'
- 15
- 25
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 71'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 61'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 84'
- 16
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 61'
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.43
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 18% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

