Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Nashville SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | Toronto FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | New York City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 6 / 11 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 64 |
| -12 | GD | -9 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 22% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 32' The referee calls foul for Florian Valot. He receives a Yellow card.
- 33' The referee calls foul for Florian Valot. He receives a Yellow card.
- 38' GOAL! Ronald Matarrita fires home to make it 0-1!
- 41' Edgar Castillo was booked on 41.
- 46' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 48' A goal from the Canada international Jacob Shaffelburg! He fires home on 48 to make it 1-1!
- 53' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 55' Marky Delgado has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
- 60' Ifunanyachi Achara picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 61' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Florian Valot has done his job and it is now time for Haris Medunjanin to step up.
- 65' Magnificent from Ifunanyachi Achara! That is 3 goals in 288 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 66' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is replacing Ifunanyachi Achara for the Toronto FC side.
- 71' Tyler Blackett is ready to make an impact after coming on for Geoff Cameron at the 71 minute mark.
- 72' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. 3-2!
- 74' FC Cincinnati receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 74.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Yeferson Soteldo argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 83' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Jacob Shaffelburg is replaced by Justin Morrow.
- 84' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Alvaro Barreal has done his job and it is now time for Brandon Vazquez to step up.
- 89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Javier Perez might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 90' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty gets a Yellow card.
- 90' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Patrick Mullins on, Yeferson Soteldo off on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 92
- 25
- 96
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 22
- 30
- 24
- 44
- 99
Bench
- 16
-
2
Justin Morrow ↑ 83'
- 5
- 18
-
13
Patrick Mullins ↑ 90'
- 26
- 14
- 11
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 66'
Coach
Javier Perez
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Geoff Cameron ↓ Tyler Blackett 71'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Calvin Harris 61'
- 64
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Caleb Stanko 71'
- 2
- 11
- 18
- 31
- 22
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
3
Tyler Blackett ↑ 71'
- 15
- 25
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 71'
-
6
Haris Medunjanin ↑ 61'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 84'
- 16
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 61'
- 29
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.51
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toronto FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
73%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 1
6.5%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.9%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 18% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

