Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2021
Wed 29 Sep 2021 · 23:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep FC Cincinnati H 3–2 W
26 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 0–0 D
18 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
12 Sep FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
27 Aug Montreal Impact FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Toronto FC A 2–3 L
25 Sep D.C. United SC A 2–4 L
18 Sep New York City FC H 1–2 L
15 Sep Atlanta United FC A 0–4 L
12 Sep Toronto FC H 2–0 W
05 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#11 Position #7
14 Points 20
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
22 Scored 36
29 Conceded 37
-7 GD -1
1.00 PPG 1.33
21% Win % 33%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati get this one started.
  • 5' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' FC Cincinnati have won 352 goals from 245 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' It’s high time Javier Perez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
  • 30' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' Controversy at the stadium! Florian Valot argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 33' Controversy at the stadium! Florian Valot argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 38' Ronald Matarrita puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
  • 41' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 41.
  • 46' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 48' Jacob Shaffelburg adds to his 0 season tally! Toronto FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 53' Alex Bono is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
  • 55' Sensational shot from Marky Delgado. Toronto FC is back in the lead.
  • 60' Toronto FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 61' The whistle greets Florian Valot as he departs to be replaced by Haris Medunjanin.
  • 65' What composure from Ifunanyachi Achara! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 66' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ifunanyachi Achara at the 66 minute mark.
  • 71' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Geoff Cameron is replaced by Tyler Blackett.
  • 72' Luciano Acosta adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 74' Caleb Stanko was booked on 74.
  • 76' Yeferson Soteldo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 76.
  • 81' The 39-year-old Edgar Castillo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Justin Morrow comes on to replace Jacob Shaffelburg.
  • 84' Brandon Vazquez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alvaro Barreal on 84 minute.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Toronto FCPatrick Mullins on, Yeferson Soteldo off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.59 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC50% Draw20% FC Cincinnati30%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC37% Draw34% FC Cincinnati29%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 17% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 15% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 10% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.