Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2021
Wed 29 Sep 2021 · 23:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep FC Cincinnati H 3–2 W
26 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 0–0 D
18 Sep Nashville SC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L
12 Sep FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
27 Aug Montreal Impact FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Toronto FC A 2–3 L
25 Sep D.C. United SC A 2–4 L
18 Sep New York City FC H 1–2 L
15 Sep Atlanta United FC A 0–4 L
12 Sep Toronto FC H 2–0 W
05 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#12 Position #6
17 Points 26
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
24 Scored 45
32 Conceded 44
-8 GD +1
0.94 PPG 1.44
17% Win % 39%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds BMO Field will turn into a battlefield for Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Toronto FC have won 371 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Caleb Stanko, a United States , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 32' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Florian Valot.
  • 33' Florian Valot was booked on 33.
  • 38' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ronald Matarrita makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 41' Edgar Castillo picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Allan Cruz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 48' A stunning finish from Jacob Shaffelburg — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 55' Toronto FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marky Delgado on 55.
  • 60' Ifunanyachi Achara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 60.
  • 61' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Haris Medunjanin is hanging Florian Valot on the field on 61 minute.
  • 65' The Nigeria Ifunanyachi Achara breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 3-1!
  • 66' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ifunanyachi Achara at the 66 minute mark.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Geoff Cameron as he leaves the pitch. Tyler Blackett steps in for FC Cincinnati.
  • 72' Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
  • 74' Caleb Stanko catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 74.
  • 76' Toronto FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 81' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 83' The whistle greets Jacob Shaffelburg as he departs to be replaced by Justin Morrow.
  • 84' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Alvaro Barreal is replaced by Brandon Vazquez.
  • 89' Gustavo Vallecilla is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
  • 90' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Patrick Mullins is replacing Yeferson Soteldo for the Toronto FC side.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Toronto FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.4 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC49% Draw21% FC Cincinnati30%
Actual: Toronto FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
51%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC36% Draw35% FC Cincinnati29%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 13% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 18% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 15% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 10% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.