New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Chris Penso
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Adam Garner
- Referee Guido Gonzalez
- Referee Ian McKay
5 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 25 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 29 | Scored | 45 |
| 39 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +1 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and New York Red Bulls launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cristian Casseres Jr., as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 8' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Aaron Long.
- 13' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 18' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
- 23' Daniel Royer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 28' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 29' Controversy at the stadium! Sean Nealis argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jaap Stam will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 44' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 49' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sean Nealis suffering a number of foals already.
- 54' Costa Rica international Allan Cruz has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' The referee shows New York Red Bulls player a Yellow card on 55.
- 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 64' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Dru Yearwood departs to be replaced by Florian Valot.
- 69' Nick Hagglund has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 74' Tom Barlow is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 78' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Yuya Kubo has done his job and it is now time for Allan Cruz to step up.
- 79' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Samuel Tetteh comes on to replace Brian White.
- 84' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 85' GOAL! Haris Medunjanin scores on 85.
- 86' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Kyle Duncan has done his job and it is now time for Jared Stroud to step up.
- 87' Sean Nealis makes way for Tom Barlow at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Caleb Stanko. He receives a Yellow card.
- 90' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Nick Hagglund is withdrawn and Caleb Stanko gets his opportunity.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Florian Valot 64'
- 1
- 24
-
10
Kaku ↓ Omir Fernandez 79'
- 77
- 33
- 26
-
42
Brian White ↓ Samuel Tetteh 79'
-
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Jared Stroud 86'
- 23
-
15
Sean Nealis ↓ Tom Barlow 86'
Bench
- 39
- 17
-
22
Florian Valot ↑ 64'
- 40
- 3
-
11
Samuel Tetteh ↑ 79'
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 79'
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 86'
-
8
Jared Stroud ↑ 86'
Coach
Bradley Carnell
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Allan Cruz 78'
- 36
- 6
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↓ Caleb Stanko 90'
- 2
- 19
- 18
- 24
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
23
Maikel van der Werff ↑ 90'
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 90'
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 78'
- 4
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-09-19
New York Red Bulls
0–1
FC Cincinnati
L
2020-09-12
D.C. United SC
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2020-09-06
New York Red Bulls
0–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2020-09-02
New York Red Bulls
0–1
D.C. United SC
L
2020-08-30
New England Revolution
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-08-25
Philadelphia Union
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.17
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
64%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.