New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Chris Penso
- Referee Robert Sibiga
- Referee Adam Garner
- Referee Guido Gonzalez
- Referee Ian McKay
5 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 22 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 36 |
| 32 | Conceded | 37 |
| -7 | GD | -1 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! New York Red Bulls welcome FC Cincinnati for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
- 5' Nick Hagglund is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 8' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aaron Long on 8.
- 13' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
- 18' Brandon Vazquez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 23' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 28' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Sean Nealis.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bradley Carnell will be considering his options from the bench.
- 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kyle Duncan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 49' It’s high time Jaap Stam made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 54' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Jared Stroud has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' Cristian Casseres is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
- 60' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
- 64' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Florian Valot on, Dru Yearwood off on 64 minutes.
- 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tim Parker made 283 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 74' Jurgen Locadia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Allan Cruz. He replaces Yuya Kubo on 78 minute.
- 79' Samuel Tetteh gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Brian White and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 283 games and scored 418 goals.
- 85' What composure from Haris Medunjanin! The Bosnia-Herzegovina international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 86' Jared Stroud is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kyle Duncan at the 86 minute mark.
- 87' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 87 minute. Sean Nealis leaves to be changed by Tom Barlow.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Caleb Stanko is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 90.
- 90' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Nick Hagglund has done his job and it is now time for Caleb Stanko to step up.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Florian Valot 64'
- 1
- 24
-
10
Kaku ↓ Omir Fernandez 79'
- 77
- 33
- 26
-
42
Brian White ↓ Samuel Tetteh 79'
-
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Jared Stroud 86'
- 23
-
15
Sean Nealis ↓ Tom Barlow 86'
Bench
- 39
- 17
-
22
Florian Valot ↑ 64'
- 40
- 3
-
11
Samuel Tetteh ↑ 79'
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 79'
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 86'
-
8
Jared Stroud ↑ 86'
Coach
Bradley Carnell
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Allan Cruz 78'
- 36
- 6
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↓ Caleb Stanko 90'
- 2
- 19
- 18
- 24
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
23
Maikel van der Werff ↑ 90'
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 90'
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 78'
- 4
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-09-19
New York Red Bulls
0–1
FC Cincinnati
L
2020-09-12
D.C. United SC
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2020-09-06
New York Red Bulls
0–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2020-09-02
New York Red Bulls
0–1
D.C. United SC
L
2020-08-30
New England Revolution
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-08-25
Philadelphia Union
1–0
New York Red Bulls
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
62%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
62%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 17% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

