FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Aug | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | New England Revolution | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Aug | New York City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 46 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 67 | Scored | 52 |
| 75 | Conceded | 67 |
| -8 | GD | -15 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC Cincinnati welcome Toronto FC for this crunch clash at TQL Stadium.
- 5' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Canada international Jonathan Osorio has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 37' Poor challenge from Justin Morrow. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 38' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Justin Morrow.
- 39' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Brenner da Silva makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 44' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact .
- 45' Haris Medunjanin picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 50' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 50.
- 55' Przemyslaw Tyton needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 58' Goal! Haris Medunjanin scores his 9 goal in 305 matches.
- 59' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kemar Lawrence is hanging Justin Morrow on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' Chris Mavinga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 69' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 74' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 76' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Brenner da Silva by Brandon Vazquez on 76 minute.
- 77' Florian Valot is ready to make an impact after coming on for Haris Medunjanin at the 77 minute mark.
- 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 84' FC Cincinnati make a change. Isaac Atanga trudges off to be replaced by Zico Bailey on 84 minutes.
- 85' Gustavo Vallecilla catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
- 90' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Edgar Castillo is hanging Alvaro Barreal on the field on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 7
- 6
- 14
-
11
Luciano Acosta ↓ Calvin Harris 90'
- 18
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Edgar Castillo 90'
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↓ Zico Bailey 84'
- 22
- 9
- 5
Bench
- 15
-
64
Florian Valot ↑ 77'
- 8
-
2
Edgar Castillo ↑ 90'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 76'
- 39
-
16
Zico Bailey ↑ 84'
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 90'
- 29
Coach
Jaap Stam
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
2
Justin Morrow ↓ Kemar Lawrence 59'
- 23
-
96
Auro ↓ Nick DeLeon 77'
- 4
- 8
- 31
- 13
- 44
- 99
-
6
Dominic Dwyer ↓ Jonathan Osorio 59'
Bench
-
92
Kemar Lawrence ↑ 59'
- 25
- 3
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 59'
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↑ 77'
- 22
-
30
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 59'
- 24
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 77'
Coach
Javier Perez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.12
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
75%
Draw or Toronto FC
48%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

