FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Aug | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | New England Revolution | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Aug | New York City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 64 | Conceded | 51 |
| -9 | GD | -12 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 31% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are looking to make home advantage count against Toronto FC.
- 5' Tsubasa Endoh is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 10' Haris Medunjanin, a Bosnia-Herzegovina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jaap Stam might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 20' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 37' The referee has no hesitation. Justin Morrow is booked for Toronto FC — Yellow card on 37.
- 38' The referee shows Toronto FC player a Yellow card on 38.
- 39' Brenner da Silva does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
- 44' Przemyslaw Tyton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Haris Medunjanin. He receives a Yellow card.
- 50' Geoff Cameron catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 50.
- 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alvaro Barreal, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 7 goals in the last 7 games.
- 58' GOAL! Haris Medunjanin scores on 58.
- 59' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kemar Lawrence is hanging Justin Morrow on the field on 59 minute.
- 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 76' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Brenner da Silva departs to be replaced by Brandon Vazquez.
- 77' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 77 minute. Haris Medunjanin leaves to be changed by Florian Valot.
- 82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 84' FC Cincinnati make a change. Isaac Atanga trudges off to be replaced by Zico Bailey on 84 minutes.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gustavo Vallecilla on 85 minutes.
- 90' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Edgar Castillo is hanging Alvaro Barreal on the field on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 7
- 6
- 14
-
11
Luciano Acosta ↓ Calvin Harris 90'
- 18
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Edgar Castillo 90'
-
23
Isaac Atanga ↓ Zico Bailey 84'
- 22
- 9
- 5
Bench
- 15
-
64
Florian Valot ↑ 77'
- 8
-
2
Edgar Castillo ↑ 90'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 76'
- 39
-
16
Zico Bailey ↑ 84'
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 90'
- 29
Coach
Jaap Stam
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
2
Justin Morrow ↓ Kemar Lawrence 59'
- 23
-
96
Auro ↓ Nick DeLeon 77'
- 4
- 8
- 31
- 13
- 44
- 99
-
6
Dominic Dwyer ↓ Jonathan Osorio 59'
Bench
-
92
Kemar Lawrence ↑ 59'
- 25
- 3
-
21
Jonathan Osorio ↑ 59'
-
18
Nick DeLeon ↑ 77'
- 22
-
30
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 59'
- 24
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 77'
Coach
Javier Perez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Luca Orellano | 2 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.17
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
74%
Draw or Toronto FC
48%
FC Cincinnati or Toronto FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
22%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

