New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

New York Red Bulls

1 – 1

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Wed 29 Sep 2021 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 45' Jose Andres Martinez

Kyle Duncan 52' Y

Andres Reyes 65' Y

Y 86' Kai Wagner

Y 86' Andre Blake

Y 88' Jack Elliott

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union 2021-07-09 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union 2021-05-15 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2020-09-06 New York Red Bulls 0–3 Philadelphia Union 2020-08-25 Philadelphia Union 1–0 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Sep	Philadelphia Union	H	1–1	D
26 Sep	New York City FC	A	1–0	W
23 Sep	New York City FC	H	1–1	D
17 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	A	4–0	W
14 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–2	L
11 Sep	D.C. United SC	H	1–1	D

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	1–1	D
25 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	1–0	W
19 Sep	Orlando City SC	H	3–1	W
03 Sep	New England Revolution	H	0–1	L
29 Aug	D.C. United SC	A	1–3	L
22 Aug	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
#5	Position	#15
22	Points	7
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	1 / 4 / 10
25	Scored	18
32	Conceded	30
-7	GD	-12
1.47	PPG	0.47
40%	Win %	7%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for New York Red Bulls to score. At the same time, Philadelphia Union does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gerhard Struber might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
18' The deadlock is broken! Sergio Santos gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
23' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
37' What composure from Omir Fernandez! The USA international strokes it home. 1-1.
42' It’s high time Jim Curtin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
45' The referee calls foul for Jose Andres Martinez. He receives a Yellow card.
46' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Christian Casseres Jr. is withdrawn and Wikelman Carmona gets his opportunity.
51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
52' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Kyle Duncan gets a Yellow card.
57' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Sean Nealis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
58' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Omir Fernandez by Tom Barlow on 58 minute.
63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Andres Reyes on 65 minutes.
70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alejandro Bedoya, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
74' New York Red Bulls make a change. Dru Yearwood trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Royer on 74 minutes.
79' The 22-year-old Paxten Aaronson has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
84' John Tolkin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
86' Kai Wagner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 86.
87' New York Red Bulls make a change. John Tolkin trudges off to be replaced by Thomas Edwards on 87 minutes.
88' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Jack Elliott gets a Yellow card.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Daniel Royer 74'
27
Sean Davis
6
Kyle Duncan
13
Carlos Miguel
10
Patryk Klimala ↓ Frankie Amaya 74'
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Tom Barlow 58'
15
Sean Nealis
5
Andrew Gutman
47
John Tolkin ↓ Thomas Edwards 87'
4
Andres Reyes
23
Christian Casseres Jr. ↓ Wikelman Carmona 46'

Bench

7
Thomas Edwards ↑ 87'
77
Daniel Royer ↑ 74'
18
Ryan Meara
8
Frankie Amaya ↑ 74'
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 58'
44
Youba Diarra
17
Cameron Harper
37
Caden Clark
19
Wikelman Carmona ↑ 46'

Coach Gerhard Struber

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
3
Jack Elliott
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↓ Paxten Aaronson 74'
15
Olivier Mbaizo
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Daniel Gazdag 74'
8
Jose Andres Martinez
5
Jakob Glesnes
31
Leon Flach
10
Jamiro Monteiro
23
Kacper Przybylko

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Ilsinho	2
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Kaku	2
Kacper Przybylko	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2021-09-26 New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls W 2021-09-23 New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC D 2021-09-17 Internacional CF Miami 0–4 New York Red Bulls W 2021-09-14 Columbus Crew SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2021-09-11 New York Red Bulls 1–1 D.C. United SC D

Philadelphia Union Form

2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union D 2021-09-25 Philadelphia Union 1–0 Atlanta United FC W 2021-09-19 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Orlando City SC W 2021-09-03 Philadelphia Union 0–1 New England Revolution L 2021-08-29 D.C. United SC 3–1 Philadelphia Union L 2021-08-22 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Montreal Impact FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.72 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.3 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls45% Draw26% Philadelphia Union29%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

72%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

55%

New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls34% Draw44% Philadelphia Union22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

1 – 0

7.6%

2 – 0

7.1%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 1

5.5%

3 – 1

5.2%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 0

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	21%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.