Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | D.C. United SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Toronto FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #9 |
| 27 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 7 / 6 / 14 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 64 |
| -13 | GD | -9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 26% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium!
- 5' GOAL! Luiz Araujo fires home to make it 1-0!
- 10' Atlanta United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Brenner da Silva is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 39' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a Yellow card on 39.
- 40' Goal! Josef Martinez scores his 148 goal in 292 matches.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Edgar Castillo on 45 minutes.
- 50' Alvaro Barreal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 28 goals in his last 170 appearances.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! Ronald Matarrita argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 55' A stunning finish from Josef Martinez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 60' Geoff Cameron has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Luciano Acosta. He replaces Florian Valot on 62 minute.
- 66' George Bello has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jake Mulraney on 66 minute.
- 71' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 73' The referee shows Atlanta United FC player a Yellow card on 73.
- 73' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 73 minute. Gustavo Vallecilla leaves to be changed by Geoff Cameron.
- 74' The Atlanta United FC bench stirs into life. Josef Martinez is withdrawn and Tyler Wolff gets his opportunity.
- 75' It is a substitution in Atlanta United FC team. Brooks Lennon is replaced by Jurgen Damm on 75 minute.
- 79' The referee has no hesitation. Brandon Vazquez is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 79.
- 79' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Zico Bailey is replaced by Chris Duvall.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Chris Duvall. He receives a Yellow card.
- 85' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 85 minute. Luiz Araujo leaves to be changed by Erick Torres.
- 86' Magnificent from Ezequiel Barco! That is 44 goals in 292 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' Atlanta United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 4-0 the final result. FC Cincinnati will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Mo Adams 66'
-
19
Luiz Araujo ↓ Erick Torres 85'
-
11
Brooks Lennon ↓ Jurgen Damm 75'
- 6
- 10
-
23
Jake Mulraney ↓ George Bello 66'
- 8
- 1
-
7
Josef Martinez ↓ Tyler Wolff 74'
- 12
- 32
Bench
- 25
-
21
George Bello ↑ 66'
-
29
Mo Adams ↑ 66'
-
22
Jurgen Damm ↑ 75'
- 3
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 74'
-
31
Erick Torres ↑ 85'
- 16
- 30
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
64
Florian Valot ↓ Luciano Acosta 62'
- 14
- 8
-
2
Edgar Castillo ↓ Alvaro Barreal 62'
- 18
- 19
-
16
Zico Bailey ↓ Chris Duvall 79'
- 22
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
12
Geoff Cameron ↑ 73'
- 15
- 7
- 6
-
11
Luciano Acosta ↑ 62'
-
26
Chris Duvall ↑ 79'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 62'
- 39
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 74'
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Edwin Mosquera | 1 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.33
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
41%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
0 – 0
3.7%
4 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 21% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

