Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | D.C. United SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Toronto FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | New England Revolution | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #8 |
| 33 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 6 / 19 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 43 | Scored | 67 |
| 60 | Conceded | 75 |
| -17 | GD | -8 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Mercedes-Benz Stadium!
- 5' Luiz Araujo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Atlanta United FC is showing some good football. However, Atlanta United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 100% of all matches.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' Brenner da Silva picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 40' Josef Martinez adds to his 1 season tally! Atlanta United FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 45' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Edgar Castillo gets a Yellow card.
- 50' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 54' Poor challenge from Ronald Matarrita. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 55' Josef Martinez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
- 60' Miles Robinson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 303 appearances.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Luciano Acosta. He replaces Florian Valot on 62 minute.
- 66' The whistle greets Jake Mulraney as he departs to be replaced by George Bello.
- 71' Jake Mulraney has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
- 73' The referee calls foul for Mo Adams. He receives a Yellow card.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Geoff Cameron. He replaces Gustavo Vallecilla on 73 minute.
- 74' It is a substitution in Atlanta United FC team. Josef Martinez is replaced by Tyler Wolff on 74 minute.
- 75' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jurgen Damm is hanging Brooks Lennon on the field on 75 minute.
- 79' FC Cincinnati receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 79.
- 79' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Zico Bailey is replaced by Chris Duvall on 79 minute.
- 82' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Chris Duvall.
- 85' Erick Torres is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luiz Araujo at the 85 minute mark.
- 86' What a strike from Ezequiel Barco! The score is 4-0.
- 90' Tyler Wolff has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Atlanta United FC players.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Matheus Rossetto ↓ Mo Adams 66'
-
19
Luiz Araujo ↓ Erick Torres 85'
-
11
Brooks Lennon ↓ Jurgen Damm 75'
- 6
- 10
-
23
Jake Mulraney ↓ George Bello 66'
- 8
- 1
-
7
Josef Martinez ↓ Tyler Wolff 74'
- 12
- 32
Bench
- 25
-
21
George Bello ↑ 66'
-
29
Mo Adams ↑ 66'
-
22
Jurgen Damm ↑ 75'
- 3
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 74'
-
31
Erick Torres ↑ 85'
- 16
- 30
Coach
Gonzalo Pineda
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
64
Florian Valot ↓ Luciano Acosta 62'
- 14
- 8
-
2
Edgar Castillo ↓ Alvaro Barreal 62'
- 18
- 19
-
16
Zico Bailey ↓ Chris Duvall 79'
- 22
- 9
- 5
Bench
-
12
Geoff Cameron ↑ 73'
- 15
- 7
- 6
-
11
Luciano Acosta ↑ 62'
-
26
Chris Duvall ↑ 79'
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↑ 62'
- 39
-
20
Calvin Harris ↑ 74'
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.28
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
41%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–0 not predicted4 – 0Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
0 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.