New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Gianni Facchini
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Jorge Gonzalez
- Referee Kevin Broadley
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 22 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 36 |
| 32 | Conceded | 37 |
| -7 | GD | -1 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as New York Red Bulls face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Jurgen Locadia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Maikel van der Werff has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 16' Kyle Duncan puts New York Red Bulls on the lead.
- 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kendall Waston made 7 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 26' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 27' The deadlock is broken! Alejandro Romero Gamarra gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
- 30' Brian White catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 30.
- 35' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 283 games and scored 418 goals.
- 46' Brilliant from the ! Allan Cruz makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 46.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 61' New York Red Bulls are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 64' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Brandon Vazquez exits the field as Jurgen Locadia enters on 64.
- 67' Alejandro Romero Gamarra makes way for Josh Sims at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
- 70' Daniel Royer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
- 71' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Brian White is withdrawn and Tom Barlow gets his opportunity.
- 76' Florian Valot is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
- 79' Kekuta Manneh is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuya Kubo at the 79 minute mark.
- 82' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Greg Garza departs to be replaced by Andrew Gutman.
- 83' The Curacao Jurgen Locadia breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 3-2!
- 88' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 89' Cristian Casseres is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for New York Red Bulls players.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 10
-
77
Daniel Royer ↓ Marc Rzatkowski 79'
- 26
- 27
-
42
Brian White ↓ Tom Barlow 71'
- 6
- 22
- 23
- 3
- 7
Bench
-
20
Josh Sims ↑ 67'
-
90
Marc Rzatkowski ↑ 79'
- 19
- 40
- 15
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 71'
- 47
Coach
Chris Armas
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Kekuta Manneh 79'
- 6
- 2
- 8
- 19
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Andrew Gutman 82'
- 9
- 18
- 24
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 64'
- 33
- 22
- 27
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 79'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 82'
- 3
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-03-01
New York Red Bulls
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-10-06
Montreal Impact FC
3–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-09-29
New York Red Bulls
0–0
D.C. United SC
D
2019-09-22
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-09-19
Portland Timbers
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.34
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
49%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
4 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 14% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 18% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

