New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Gianni Facchini
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Jorge Gonzalez
- Referee Kevin Broadley
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #9 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 34 | Scored | 55 |
| 48 | Conceded | 64 |
| -14 | GD | -9 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 35% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 10 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. New York Red Bulls host FC Cincinnati — let the battle begin!
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Andrew Gutman needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 16' What composure from Kyle Duncan! The Jamaica international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 21' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 26' The 30-year-old Brian White has been sensational this season — 8 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 27' A goal from the Paraguay international Alejandro Romero Gamarra! He fires home on 27 to make it 2-0!
- 30' Brian White is having his name booked by the referee on 30.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York Red Bulls side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' Allan Cruz makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 51' Mathieu Deplagne is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 64' Jurgen Locadia gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Brandon Vazquez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Alejandro Romero Gamarra exits the field as Josh Sims enters on 67.
- 70' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Daniel Royer makes it 3-1.
- 71' Tom Barlow gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Brian White and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 290 games and scored 425 goals.
- 79' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Kekuta Manneh comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
- 82' Andrew Gutman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Greg Garza on 82 minute.
- 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jurgen Locadia makes it 3-2.
- 88' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Adrien Regattin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 89' Cristian Casseres has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
- New York Red Bulls celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 10
-
77
Daniel Royer ↓ Marc Rzatkowski 79'
- 26
- 27
-
42
Brian White ↓ Tom Barlow 71'
- 6
- 22
- 23
- 3
- 7
Bench
-
20
Josh Sims ↑ 67'
-
90
Marc Rzatkowski ↑ 79'
- 19
- 40
- 15
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 71'
- 47
Coach
Chris Armas
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Kekuta Manneh 79'
- 6
- 2
- 8
- 19
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Andrew Gutman 82'
- 9
- 18
- 24
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 64'
- 33
- 22
- 27
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 79'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 82'
- 3
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-03-01
New York Red Bulls
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-10-06
Montreal Impact FC
3–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-09-29
New York Red Bulls
0–0
D.C. United SC
D
2019-09-22
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-09-19
Portland Timbers
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
49%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

