New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Gianni Facchini
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Jorge Gonzalez
- Referee Kevin Broadley
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 25 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 29 | Scored | 45 |
| 39 | Conceded | 44 |
| -10 | GD | +1 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Frankie Amaya needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Patrick Seagrist, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 16' Kyle Duncan makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
- 21' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 26' Allan Cruz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 7 appearances.
- 27' Brilliant from the ! Alejandro Romero Gamarra makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 27.
- 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Brian White on 30.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maikel van der Werff suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, David Jensen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 45' It’s high time Chris Armas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Allan Cruz is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 286 games and scored 422 goals.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York Red Bulls must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 64' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Brandon Vazquez is replaced by Jurgen Locadia on 64 minute.
- 67' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Alejandro Romero Gamarra has done his job and it is now time for Josh Sims to step up.
- 70' Assisted by Kyle Duncan with the perfectly-timed delivery and Daniel Royer makes no mistake. 3-1!
- 71' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace Brian White by Tom Barlow on 71 minute.
- 76' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 79' Yuya Kubo makes way for Kekuta Manneh at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 82' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Greg Garza is replaced by Andrew Gutman.
- 83' Brilliant from the ! Jurgen Locadia makes it 3-2 with a superb finish on 83.
- 88' It looks like no one’s ball. New York Red Bulls is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 89' Cristian Casseres has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
- With this win, New York Red Bulls is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 10
-
77
Daniel Royer ↓ Marc Rzatkowski 79'
- 26
- 27
-
42
Brian White ↓ Tom Barlow 71'
- 6
- 22
- 23
- 3
- 7
Bench
-
20
Josh Sims ↑ 67'
-
90
Marc Rzatkowski ↑ 79'
- 19
- 40
- 15
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 71'
- 47
Coach
Chris Armas
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Kekuta Manneh 79'
- 6
- 2
- 8
- 19
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Andrew Gutman 82'
- 9
- 18
- 24
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 64'
- 33
- 22
- 27
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 79'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 82'
- 3
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-03-01
New York Red Bulls
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-10-06
Montreal Impact FC
3–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-09-29
New York Red Bulls
0–0
D.C. United SC
D
2019-09-22
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-09-19
Portland Timbers
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
70%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
51%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 16% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.