New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Gianni Facchini
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Jorge Gonzalez
- Referee Kevin Broadley
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–4 | L |
| 06 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Sep | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 42 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 48 | Scored | 67 |
| 62 | Conceded | 75 |
| -14 | GD | -8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 35% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 13 G | 3 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 8 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The 28-year-old Patrick Seagrist has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Amr Tarek, a Egypt , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 16' Kyle Duncan has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
- 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
- 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Yoann Damet might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 27' Against the run of play, Alejandro Romero Gamarra has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 30' Controversy at the stadium! Brian White argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 35' Haris Medunjanin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 305 appearances.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. New York Red Bulls seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' The Costa Rica Allan Cruz breaks the deadlock on 46 minutes. 2-1!
- 51' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 56' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 61' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
- 64' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jurgen Locadia is hanging Brandon Vazquez on the field on 64 minute.
- 67' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 67 minute. Alejandro Romero Gamarra leaves to be changed by Josh Sims.
- 70' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Daniel Royer makes it 3-1.
- 71' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Tom Barlow on, Brian White off on 71 minutes.
- 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 79' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Yuya Kubo is withdrawn and Kekuta Manneh gets his opportunity.
- 82' Andrew Gutman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Greg Garza on 82 minute.
- 83' The deadlock is broken! Jurgen Locadia gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
- 88' New York Red Bulls is showing some good football. However, New York Red Bulls are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 89' New York Red Bulls player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- FC Cincinnati will have plenty to reflect on. New York Red Bulls were simply the better side today.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 10
-
77
Daniel Royer ↓ Marc Rzatkowski 79'
- 26
- 27
-
42
Brian White ↓ Tom Barlow 71'
- 6
- 22
- 23
- 3
- 7
Bench
-
20
Josh Sims ↑ 67'
-
90
Marc Rzatkowski ↑ 79'
- 19
- 40
- 15
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 71'
- 47
Coach
Chris Armas
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Kekuta Manneh 79'
- 6
- 2
- 8
- 19
-
4
Greg Garza ↓ Andrew Gutman 82'
- 9
- 18
- 24
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 64'
- 33
- 22
- 27
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 79'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↑ 82'
- 3
Coach
Yoann Damet
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-03-01
New York Red Bulls
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2019-10-20
Philadelphia Union
4–3
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-10-06
Montreal Impact FC
3–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2019-09-29
New York Red Bulls
0–0
D.C. United SC
D
2019-09-22
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2019-09-19
Portland Timbers
0–2
New York Red Bulls
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
48%
New York Red Bulls or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

