Wednesday , 30 September 2026

St. Louis City vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 00:30 UTC Citypark HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
St. Louis City 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Nashville SC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Nashville SC H 3–1 W
27 Jul Minnesota United FC H 1–2 L
20 Jul FC Dallas A 0–3 L
13 Jul Portland Timbers H 2–1 W
06 Jul Real Salt Lake A 2–3 L
29 Jun Houston Dynamo A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug St. Louis City A 1–3 L
26 Jul San Diego FC A 0–1 L
20 Jul Toronto FC H 1–0 W
17 Jul Columbus Crew SC H 3–0 W
12 Jul Internacional CF Miami A 1–2 L
06 Jul Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W

Season Stats

St. Louis City Nashville SC
#19 Position #1
44 Points 60
26 Played 27
12 / 8 / 6 W / D / L 18 / 6 / 3
45 Scored 55
36 Conceded 21
+9 GD +34
1.69 PPG 2.22
46% Win % 67%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

St. Louis City are 19th (44 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

St. Louis City
0-15
4/3
16-30
7/2
31-45
9/3
46-60
8/5
61-75
6/5
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Louis City
Rafael Navarro 13 G 3 A
Simon Becher 8 G 4 A
Marcel Hartel 6 G 3 A
Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 16 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 13 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! St. Louis City welcome Nashville SC for this crunch clash at Citypark.
  • 5' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' St. Louis City is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Eduard Lowen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 23' A goal from the USA international Jaziel Orozco! He fires home on 23 to make it 1-0!
  • 28' St. Louis City currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nashville SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' A goal from the Brazil international Klauss! He fires home on 39 to make it 2-0!
  • 44' Jeisson Palacios needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both St. Louis City and Nashville SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 54' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' That is a card for St. Louis City. Alfredo Morales will be fuming at that decision.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alex Muyl, as he is very good at scoring at Citypark with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' Another change for Nashville SC made on 62 minute. Edvard Tagseth leaves to be changed by Alex Muyl.
  • 66' What composure from Sang-bin Jeong! The South Korea international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 70' St. Louis City make a change. Sang-bin Jeong trudges off to be replaced by Mykhi Joyner on 70 minutes.
  • 71' St. Louis City ring the changes. Wyatt Meyer has done his job and it is now time for Celio Pompeu to step up.
  • 74' Josh Bauer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sam Surridge on 74 minute.
  • 75' The whistle greets Alfredo Morales as he departs to be replaced by Teal Bunbury.
  • 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 85' The deadlock is broken! Hany Mukhtar gets on the scoresheet on 85 minutes.
  • 86' The St. Louis City bench stirs into life. Patrick Yazbek is withdrawn and Akil Watts gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee shows St. Louis City player a card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Nashville SC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 St. Louis City xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: St. Louis City or Nashville SC 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
St. Louis City40% Draw26% Nashville SC34%
Actual: St. Louis City win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

St. Louis City or Draw
66%
Draw or Nashville SC
60%
St. Louis City or Nashville SC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
St. Louis City28% Draw44% Nashville SC28%
Actual: St. Louis City win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — St. Louis City

Handicap St. Louis City covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 18% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.