FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- FC Dallas 27 games · 47 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| 25 May | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 May | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Austin FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 May | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 May | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 May | San Diego FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 27 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | FC Dallas | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #17 |
| 33 | Points | 47 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 6 |
| 55 | Scored | 50 |
| 64 | Conceded | 42 |
| -9 | GD | +8 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 31% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Dallas this season
FC Dallas this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). FC Dallas are 17th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Dallas
0-15
4/5
16-30
8/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/7
76+
11/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
FC Dallas
| Petar Musa | 18 G | 5 A |
| Logan Farrington | 9 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
- 2' Poor challenge from Alvas Powell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 7' That looks like a foul for a card for Marco Farfan.
- 12' It looks surprising FC Dallas does not make any changes. Maarten Paes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 17' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
- 27' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' Assisted by DeAndre Yedlin with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pavel Bucha makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 35' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Dallas seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' Lalas Abubakar has so much to prove this time. He replaces Osaze Urhoghide on 36 minute.
- 41' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 42' Kevin Denkey has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
- 44' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kaick on 44 minutes.
- 46' FC Dallas manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pedrinho is hanging Bernard Kamungo on the field on 46 minute.
- 50' What composure from Petar Musa! The Croatia international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and FC Dallas are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 62' A moment of madness from Petar Musa on 62 minutes earns him a card. FC Dallas will be frustrated.
- 64' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Sergio Santos is withdrawn and Kei Kamara gets his opportunity.
- 65' Another change for FC Dallas made on 65 minute. Kaick leaves to be changed by Patrickson Delgado.
- 68' Anderson Julio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 73' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Luca Orellano has done his job and it is now time for Lukas Engel to step up.
- 74' Teenage Hadebe gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Alvas Powell and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Teenage Hadebe.
- 83' The FC Dallas manager makes a substitution. Anderson Julio departs to be replaced by Logan Farrington.
- 86' Goal! Gerardo Valenzuela scores his 6 goal in 255 matches.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Corey Baird on 90.
- The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 3-3 FC Dallas. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Corey Baird 83'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Teenage Hadebe 74'
- 12
- 20
- 5
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Lukas Engel 73'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Kei Kamara 64'
- 18
- 3
Bench
- 21
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 83'
- 13
- 14
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 64'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 74'
- 27
-
29
Lukas Engel ↑ 73'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 74'
Coach
Pat Noonan
FC Dallas Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 17
- 1
- 18
- 4
- 10
- 25
- 9
- 11
-
77
Bernard Kamungo ↓ Pedrinho 46'
-
55
Kaick ↓ Patrickson Delgado 65'
Bench
-
5
Lalas Abubakar ↑ 36'
- 21
- 16
-
20
Pedrinho ↑ 46'
-
6
Patrickson Delgado ↑ 65'
- 32
-
23
Logan Farrington ↑ 83'
- 30
- 50
Coach
Eric Quill
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 1 |
| Michael Barrios | 1 |
| Ryan Hollingshead | 1 |
| Zdenek Ondrasek | 1 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 1 |
| Luca Orellano | 1 |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.38
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.4
FC Dallas xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 4.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
64%
Draw or FC Dallas
57%
FC Cincinnati or FC Dallas
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 2
3.1%
1 – 4
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | FC Dallas covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 16% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 16% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
FC Dallas keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.