Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
07 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
02 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
28 Oct Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
25 Oct Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
18 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
08 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 6–0 W
05 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–0 W
01 Nov FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
29 Oct SC Paderborn 07 A 4–2 W
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–0 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#16 Position #6
29 Points 59
34 Played 34
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
45 Scored 68
69 Conceded 47
-24 GD +21
0.85 PPG 1.74
21% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg20% Draw21% Bayer 04 Leverkusen59%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
41%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
80%
VfL Wolfsburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg16% Draw38% Bayer 04 Leverkusen46%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 1
8.8%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 3
6.1%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 4
4.3%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 10% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 21% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 18% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
10%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.