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FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Wed 19 Dec 2018 · 19:30 UTC Allianz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Dominik Schaal
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
  • Referee Guido Winkmann
  • Referee Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

10
7
1
FC Bayern München 18 games · Avg 3.4 goals RB Leipzig

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Dec RB Leipzig H 1–0 W
15 Dec Hannover 96 A 4–0 W
12 Dec AFC Ajax A 3–3 D
08 Dec 1. FC Nürnberg H 3–0 W
01 Dec SV Werder Bremen A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Dec FC Bayern München A 0–1 L
16 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Dec Rosenborg BK H 1–1 D
08 Dec SC Freiburg A 0–3 L
02 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–0 W
29 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg A 0–1 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München RB Leipzig
#7 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig get this one started.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' FC Bayern München are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's shape.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 16' RB Leipzig player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 26' Jean-Kevin Augustin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 28' Franck Ribery has so much to prove this time. He replaces Serge Gnabry on 28 minute.
  • 33' FC Bayern München currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Konrad Laimer made 513 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thomas Muller suffering a number of foals already.
  • 53' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 58' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
  • 61' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Renato Sanches comes on to replace Kingsley Coman.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Konrad Laimer is booked for RB Leipzig — Yellow card on 64.
  • 69' The 27-year-old Dayot Upamecano has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' With 0 assists to his name this season, Peter Gulacsi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
  • 79' Renato Sanches was booked on 79.
  • 81' RB Leipzig manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stefan Ilsanker is hanging Bruma on the field on 81 minute.
  • 83' Assisted by Renato Sanches with the perfectly-timed delivery and Franck Ribery makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 87' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Konrad Laimer exits the field as Matheus Cunha enters on 87.
  • 88' A tactical swap from RB LeipzigJean-Kevin Augustin on, Yussuf Poulsen off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Stefan Ilsanker on 90 minutes earns him a Red card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 90' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 90 minute. Thomas Muller leaves to be changed by Javi Martinez.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Bayern München to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.86 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München51% Draw37% RB Leipzig12%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
87%
Draw or RB Leipzig
49%
FC Bayern München or RB Leipzig
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München26% Draw68% RB Leipzig6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
1.2%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1.1%
2 – 2
0.7%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 12% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 30% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 9% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
74%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.