Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 19 Apr 2026 · 14:30 UTC Municipal de Arouca 1,804 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tiago Esgaio 46' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergio Guelho
  • Assistant 1 Andre Ferreira (Portugal)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Silva (Portugal)
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W
12 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
06 Apr GD Estoril Praia H 3–2 W
21 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–0 W
14 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L
06 Mar FC Famalicão A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr FC Arouca A 0–1 L
11 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–1 L
04 Apr CD Nacional A 0–2 L
20 Mar Casa Pia AC H 4–0 W
15 Mar Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Arouca CF Estrela da Amadora
#5 Position #8
11 Points 10
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 1
10 Scored 14
7 Conceded 14
+3 GD +0
1.57 PPG 1.43
43% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
0% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 8th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
5/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G
CF Estrela da Amadora
Ianis Stoica 4 G 2 A
Abraham Marcus 4 G 1 A
Leandro Antonetti 4 G 1 A
Beni Souza 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.87 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca54% Draw24% CF Estrela da Amadora22%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
78%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
46%
FC Arouca or CF Estrela da Amadora
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca39% Draw43% CF Estrela da Amadora18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.