Thursday , 2 July 2026

CF Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Fri 20 Mar 2026 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CF Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia ACPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Helder Malheiro
5 games this season 🟨 2.2/game 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar Casa Pia AC H 4–0 W
15 Mar Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb AVS A 0–0 D
20 Feb CD Tondela H 0–2 L
14 Feb Vitória SC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar CF Estrela da Amadora A 0–4 L
07 Mar GD Estoril Praia A 0–0 D
01 Mar Moreirense FC H 1–1 D
23 Feb FC Famalicão A 0–2 L
14 Feb FC Arouca H 3–2 W
08 Feb CD Nacional A 0–0 D

Season Stats

CF Estrela da Amadora Casa Pia AC
#15 Position #16
30 Points 30
34 Played 34
6 / 12 / 16 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
38 Scored 31
56 Conceded 57
-18 GD -26
0.88 PPG 0.88
18% Win % 18%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
21% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.95 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: CF Estrela da Amadora to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CF Estrela da Amadora57% Draw24% Casa Pia AC19%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

CF Estrela da Amadora or Draw
81%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
43%
CF Estrela da Amadora or Casa Pia AC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CF Estrela da Amadora42% Draw43% Casa Pia AC15%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora

Handicap CF Estrela da Amadora covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 23% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
39%
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.