Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rio Ave FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Rio Ave FC
2 – 1
Full Time
CF Estrela da Amadora
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rio Ave FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Costa
11 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

3
2
1
Rio Ave FC 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals CF Estrela da Amadora
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-15 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CF Estrela da Amadora 2025-10-25 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–2 Rio Ave FC 2025-05-05 Rio Ave FC 2–0 CF Estrela da Amadora 2024-12-23 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–0 Rio Ave FC 2024-04-14 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–2 Rio Ave FC

Recent Form

Rio Ave FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–1 W
09 Mar CD Tondela A 1–0 W
01 Mar FC Famalicão H 0–0 D
22 Feb FC Porto A 0–1 L
16 Feb Moreirense FC H 1–2 L
08 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–3 L
CF Estrela da Amadora
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
08 Mar Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb AVS A 0–0 D
20 Feb CD Tondela H 0–2 L
14 Feb Vitória SC A 1–2 L
07 Feb CD Santa Clara H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Rio Ave FC CF Estrela da Amadora
#12 Position #15
36 Points 30
34 Played 34
8 / 12 / 14 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
35 Scored 38
57 Conceded 56
-22 GD -18
1.06 PPG 0.88
24% Win % 18%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
24% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Rio Ave FC to score. At the same time, CF Estrela da Amadora does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • With this win, Rio Ave FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Aderlan 2
Marious Vrousai 1
Kikas 1
Leonardo Silva 1
Tiago Gabriel 1
Clayton 1
Martim Neto 1

Head to Head

2026-03-15 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CF Estrela da Amadora 2025-10-25 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–2 Rio Ave FC 2025-05-05 Rio Ave FC 2–0 CF Estrela da Amadora 2024-12-23 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–0 Rio Ave FC 2024-04-14 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–2 Rio Ave FC

Rio Ave FC Form

2026-03-15 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CF Estrela da Amadora W 2026-03-09 CD Tondela 0–1 Rio Ave FC W 2026-03-01 Rio Ave FC 0–0 FC Famalicão D 2026-02-22 FC Porto 1–0 Rio Ave FC L 2026-02-16 Rio Ave FC 1–2 Moreirense FC L 2026-02-08 Sporting Clube de Braga 3–0 Rio Ave FC L

CF Estrela da Amadora Form

2026-03-15 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2026-03-08 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–2 Gil Vicente FC D 2026-02-28 AVS 0–0 CF Estrela da Amadora D 2026-02-20 CF Estrela da Amadora 0–2 CD Tondela L 2026-02-14 Vitória SC 2–1 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2026-02-07 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–0 CD Santa Clara W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44 Rio Ave FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rio Ave FC48% Draw27% CF Estrela da Amadora25%
Actual: Rio Ave FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Rio Ave FC or Draw
75%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
52%
Rio Ave FC or CF Estrela da Amadora
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rio Ave FC31% Draw48% CF Estrela da Amadora21%
Actual: Rio Ave FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC

Handicap Rio Ave FC covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.