FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- CF Estrela da Amadora 34 games · 30 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FC Famalicão | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | GD Estoril Praia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | AVS | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | FC Arouca | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Apr | SC Farense | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | CD Nacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Vitória SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | CF Estrela da Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #15 |
| 42 | Points | 30 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 |
| 47 | Scored | 38 |
| 64 | Conceded | 56 |
| -17 | GD | -18 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 0.88 |
| 35% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Municipal de Arouca. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Jose Fontan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Guilherme Montoia, as he is very good at scoring at Municipal de Arouca with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' FC Arouca are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Pedro Santos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' CF Estrela da Amadora are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 39' FC Arouca player sees a card in front of him.
- 43' Jovane Cabral picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 45' Alan Ruiz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 50' CF Estrela da Amadora have won 60 goals from 102 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 55' Issiar Drame has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' Alex Pinto was booked on 56.
- 60' FC Arouca make a change. Guven Yalcin trudges off to be replaced by Brian Mansilla on 60 minutes.
- 62' CF Estrela da Amadora manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rodrigo Pinho is hanging Kikas on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' Dylan Nandin has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 67 minutes.
- 69' A change in the FC Arouca ranks — Amadou Dante exits the field as Weverson enters on 69.
- 72' Leonel Bucca gets the nod from CF Estrela da Amadora. He replaces Jovane Cabral and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Controversy at the stadium! Chico Banza argues furiously but the card stands.
- 78' Another substitution for CF Estrela da Amadora to replace Issiar Drame by Gerson Sousa on 78 minute.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Ruben Lima. He replaces Guilherme Montoia on 79 minute.
- 83' The FC Arouca manager makes a substitution. Taichi Fukui departs to be replaced by Loum Ndiaye.
- 86' A moment of madness from Pedro Santos on 86 minutes earns him a card. FC Arouca will be frustrated.
- 88' Controversy at the stadium! Ferro argues furiously but the card stands.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CF Estrela da Amadora.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
10
Jason ↓ Dylan Nandin 60'
-
50
Guven Yalcin ↓ Brian Mansilla 60'
-
78
Alex Pinto ↓ Boris Popovic 83'
- 3
-
27
Amadou Dante ↓ Weverson 69'
- 58
-
21
Taichi Fukui ↓ Loum Ndiaye 83'
- 2
- 73
- 89
- 19
Bench
-
31
Loum Ndiaye ↑ 83'
- 20
- 1
-
26
Weverson ↑ 69'
-
13
Boris Popovic ↑ 83'
- 39
- 11
-
24
Brian Mansilla ↑ 60'
-
23
Dylan Nandin ↑ 60'
Coach
Vasco Seabra
CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 24
-
97
Jovane Cabral ↓ Leonel Bucca 72'
-
98
Kikas ↓ Rodrigo Pinho 62'
-
10
Alan Ruiz ↓ Chico Banza 72'
- 4
- 12
- 27
-
5
Issiar Drame ↓ Gerson Sousa 78'
- 22
- 2
-
21
Guilherme Montoia ↓ Ruben Lima 79'
Bench
-
28
Ruben Lima ↑ 79'
-
9
Rodrigo Pinho ↑ 62'
-
17
Chico Banza ↑ 72'
- 1
-
26
Leonel Bucca ↑ 72'
- 42
-
11
Gerson Sousa ↑ 78'
- 19
- 44
Coach
Ze Augusto
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jason | 2 |
| Tiago Esgaio | 1 |
| Dylan Nandin | 1 |
| Francisco Montero | 1 |
| Andre Bukia | 1 |
| Rafa Mujica | 1 |
| Kialonda Gaspar | 1 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
CF Estrela da Amadora Form
2025-04-19
FC Arouca
1–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
2025-04-13
CF Estrela da Amadora
0–1
SC Farense
L
2025-04-06
CD Nacional
0–1
CF Estrela da Amadora
W
2025-03-29
CF Estrela da Amadora
0–3
Sporting Clube de Portugal
L
2025-03-16
Vitória SC
2–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
2025-03-07
CF Estrela da Amadora
1–1
Gil Vicente FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
76%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
50%
FC Arouca or CF Estrela da Amadora
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | CF Estrela da Amadora covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.