FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- CF Estrela da Amadora 34 games · 30 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Apr | Boavista FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | SC Farense | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | FC Arouca | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Apr | SC Farense | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Boavista FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Apr | Rio Ave FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Apr | Moreirense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | CF Estrela da Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #15 |
| 42 | Points | 30 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 |
| 47 | Scored | 38 |
| 64 | Conceded | 56 |
| -17 | GD | -18 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 0.88 |
| 35% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Arouca and CF Estrela da Amadora has kicked off!
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leonel Bucca is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Arouca.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Bogdan Milovanov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CF Estrela da Amadora so far.
- 20' FC Arouca are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CF Estrela da Amadora backline.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' CF Estrela da Amadora looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 40' The referee calls foul for Nilton Varela. He receives a card.
- 44' Rodrigo Pinho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 49' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nanu made 247 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 62' Another substitution for FC Arouca to replace Oriol Busquets by Pedro Santos on 62 minute.
- 63' It is a substitution in CF Estrela da Amadora team. Rodrigo Pinho is replaced by Kikas on 63 minute.
- 68' Regis Ndo is replacing Andre Luiz for the CF Estrela da Amadora side.
- 70' FC Arouca make a change. Quaresma trudges off to be replaced by Weverson on 70 minutes.
- 75' Jean Felipe makes way for Nanu at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from CF Estrela da Amadora.
- 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Regis Ndo suffering a number of foals already.
- 83' The FC Arouca manager makes a substitution. Vladislav Morozov departs to be replaced by Alfonso Trezza.
- 88' It looks surprising FC Arouca does not make any changes. Morlaye Sylla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' Poor challenge from Mati-as Rocha. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
-
14
Oriol Busquets ↓ Pedro Santos 62'
-
10
Jason ↓ Yusuf Lawal 83'
- 5
- 23
- 1
- 6
- 22
- 2
- 13
- 15
Bench
- 16
- 17
-
7
Yusuf Lawal ↑ 83'
- 44
-
26
Weverson ↑ 70'
- 43
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 62'
-
9
Alfonso Trezza ↑ 83'
- 11
Coach
Daniel Sousa
CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 70
- 5
-
8
Leo Jaba ↓ Ronaldo Tavares 68'
-
20
Rodrigo Pinho ↓ Kikas 63'
- 30
-
12
Jean Felipe ↓ Nanu 75'
-
75
Nilton Varela ↓ Ruben Lima 63'
- 26
-
10
Andre Luiz ↓ Regis Ndo 68'
- 27
- 22
Bench
-
28
Ruben Lima ↑ 63'
- 1
-
31
Nanu ↑ 75'
- 21
-
29
Kikas ↑ 63'
- 80
-
9
Ronaldo Tavares ↑ 68'
-
7
Regis Ndo ↑ 68'
- 71
Coach
Sergio Vieira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jason | 2 |
| Andre Bukia | 1 |
| Rafa Mujica | 1 |
| Kialonda Gaspar | 1 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 1 |
| Tiago Esgaio | 1 |
| Dylan Nandin | 1 |
| Francisco Montero | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
CF Estrela da Amadora Form
2024-05-05
FC Arouca
0–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
D
2024-04-29
CF Estrela da Amadora
0–3
SC Farense
L
2024-04-20
Boavista FC
1–1
CF Estrela da Amadora
D
2024-04-14
CF Estrela da Amadora
2–2
Rio Ave FC
D
2024-04-07
Moreirense FC
2–2
CF Estrela da Amadora
D
2024-03-29
CF Estrela da Amadora
1–2
Sporting Clube de Portugal
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.67
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
77%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
48%
FC Arouca or CF Estrela da Amadora
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | CF Estrela da Amadora covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

