Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FCSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 0.3/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
28 Jan SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
07 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
28 Nov EC Juventude A 1–1 D
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb EC Bahia A 1–1 D
28 Jan Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
07 Dec EC Bahia H 2–0 W
03 Dec Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#5 Position #4
33 Points 38
22 Played 23
8 / 9 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
29 Scored 34
25 Conceded 28
+4 GD +6
1.50 PPG 1.65
36% Win % 43%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia38% Draw30% Fluminense FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
67%
Draw or Fluminense FC
62%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia27% Draw49% Fluminense FC24%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
31%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.