Saturday , 14 November 2026

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
8 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
28 Jan SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
07 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
28 Nov EC Juventude A 1–1 D
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb EC Bahia A 1–1 D
28 Jan Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
07 Dec EC Bahia H 2–0 W
03 Dec Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov São Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#6 Position #4
53 Points 57
34 Played 34
14 / 11 / 9 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 9
50 Scored 55
45 Conceded 42
+5 GD +13
1.56 PPG 1.68
41% Win % 47%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or Fluminense FC 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia37% Draw29% Fluminense FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
65%
Draw or Fluminense FC
63%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia27% Draw47% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.