Swansea City AFC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Swansea City AFC

1 – 1

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tom Nield

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Swansea City AFC 14 games · Avg 2.6 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-17 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC 2025-09-20 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC 2024-01-13 Birmingham City FC 2–2 Swansea City AFC 2023-08-05 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC 2023-02-04 Swansea City AFC 3–4 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Swansea City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	Birmingham City FC	H	1–1	D
11 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	7–8	L
04 Jan	Millwall FC	A	1–2	L
01 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	1–0	W
29 Dec	Oxford United FC	A	1–0	W
26 Dec	Coventry City FC	A	0–1	L

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	Swansea City AFC	A	1–1	D
10 Jan	Cambridge United FC	A	3–2	W
04 Jan	Coventry City FC	H	3–2	W
01 Jan	Watford FC	A	0–3	L
29 Dec	Southampton FC	H	1–1	D
26 Dec	Derby County FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC		Birmingham City FC
#11	Position	#10
64	Points	64
46	Played	46
18 / 10 / 18	W / D / L	17 / 13 / 16
57	Scored	57
59	Conceded	56
-2	GD	+1
1.39	PPG	1.39
39%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Birmingham City FC gets underway.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Scott Hogan	3
Joel Piroe	2
Siriki Dembele	2
Oliver McBurnie	2
Matt Grimes	2
Troy Deeney	2
Lukas Jutkiewicz	2
Jay Fulton	1

Head to Head

Swansea City AFC Form

2026-01-17 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2026-01-11 Swansea City AFC 7–8 West Bromwich Albion FC L 2026-01-04 Millwall FC 2–1 Swansea City AFC L 2026-01-01 Swansea City AFC 1–0 West Bromwich Albion FC W 2025-12-29 Oxford United FC 0–1 Swansea City AFC W 2025-12-26 Coventry City FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC L

Birmingham City FC Form

2026-01-17 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D 2026-01-10 Cambridge United FC 2–3 Birmingham City FC W 2026-01-04 Birmingham City FC 3–2 Coventry City FC W 2026-01-01 Watford FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2025-12-29 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Southampton FC D 2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.73 Swansea City AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.68 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Swansea City AFC or Birmingham City FC 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Swansea City AFC38% Draw26% Birmingham City FC36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.41

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw

64%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

62%

Swansea City AFC or Birmingham City FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Swansea City AFC30% Draw41% Birmingham City FC29%

Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 0

2 – 0

0 – 1

4.9%

0 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.6%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 2

3.9%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap	Swansea City AFC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	18%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.