Thursday , 2 July 2026

Preston North End FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Derby County FC H 0–1 L
09 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 0–1 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 2–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
29 Dec Wrexham AFC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
11 Jan Leeds United FC H 1–3 L
04 Jan Wrexham AFC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Preston North End FC Derby County FC
#14 Position #8
60 Points 69
46 Played 46
15 / 15 / 16 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
55 Scored 67
62 Conceded 59
-7 GD +8
1.30 PPG 1.50
33% Win % 43%

Key Stats

8% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
8% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Preston North End FC are 14th (60 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Preston North End FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1 Preston North End FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Preston North End FC31% Draw31% Derby County FC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Preston North End FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Preston North End FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Preston North End FC21% Draw52% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Preston North End FC

Handicap Preston North End FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Preston North End FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.