Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Preston North End FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Preston North End FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Farai Hallam (England)
5 games this season 🟨 2.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Derby County FC H 0–1 L
09 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 0–1 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 2–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–0 W
29 Dec Wrexham AFC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
11 Jan Leeds United FC H 1–3 L
04 Jan Wrexham AFC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Preston North End FC Derby County FC
#23 Position #22
4 Points 5
8 Played 8
1 / 1 / 6 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
8 Scored 7
15 Conceded 14
-7 GD -7
0.50 PPG 0.63
13% Win % 13%

Key Stats

8% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
8% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Preston North End FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Preston North End FC are 23rd (4 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Preston North End FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/3
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Preston North End FC
Callum Lang 3 G
Jordan Thompson 1 G
Jusef Erabi 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Preston North End FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.02 Preston North End FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Preston North End FC or Derby County FC 67% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Preston North End FC34% Draw33% Derby County FC33%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Preston North End FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Derby County FC
66%
Preston North End FC or Derby County FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Preston North End FC23% Draw54% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
14.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
2.3%
0 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Preston North End FC

Handicap Preston North End FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 20% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Preston North End FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.