Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Portsmouth FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 29 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
6
Derby County FC 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals Portsmouth FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
22 Apr Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W
15 Apr Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr Derby County FC A 1–1 D
22 Apr Accrington Stanley FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
15 Apr Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–1 D
10 Apr Morecambe FC H 0–0 D
07 Apr Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.07 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Portsmouth FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC41% Draw32% Portsmouth FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Portsmouth FC
59%
Derby County FC or Portsmouth FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC25% Draw55% Portsmouth FC20%
Actual: Portsmouth FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Portsmouth FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Portsmouth FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.