Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 11:30 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 18,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 55' Matt Clarke
0–2 81' Aaron Ramsey og

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
  • Assistant 1 Rob Smith
  • Assistant 2 Sam Lewis (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 0–2 L
25 Aug Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
17 Aug Burnley FC A 0–5 L
10 Aug Sunderland AFC H 0–2 L
04 May Rotherham United FC A 2–5 L
27 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Cardiff City FC A 2–0 W
24 Aug Portsmouth FC H 2–2 D
17 Aug Derby County FC A 0–1 L
10 Aug Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
04 May Watford FC H 3–1 W
27 Apr Cardiff City FC A 4–1 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC21% Draw26% Middlesbrough FC53%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
79%
Cardiff City FC or Middlesbrough FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC16% Draw46% Middlesbrough FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
10.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
19%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.