Sunday , 15 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Shrewsbury Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Fri 29 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pirelli Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Bez Lubala 16' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Shrewsbury Town FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Carl Brook
  • Assistant 1 Lisa Rashid
  • Assistant 2 Darren Wilding
7 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
23 Dec Charlton Athletic FC A 1–1 D
16 Dec Oxford United FC A 0–3 L
09 Dec Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
28 Nov Portsmouth FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Burton Albion FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Cheltenham Town FC A 0–2 L
23 Dec Peterborough United FC H 1–2 L
16 Dec Portsmouth FC H 0–3 L
09 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
01 Dec Notts County FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Burton Albion FC and Shrewsbury Town FC get this one started.
  • 5' Burton Albion FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shrewsbury Town FC backline.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Burton Albion FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' What composure from Bez Lubala! The DR Congo international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burton Albion FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 26' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jasper Moon is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shrewsbury Town FC.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' Aaron Pierre is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Shrewsbury Town FC tonight.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' Ryan Bowman gets the nod from Shrewsbury Town FC. He replaces Max Mata and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Shrewsbury Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 52' Fresh legs for Burton Albion FC! Jake Caprice comes on to replace Ryan Sweeney.
  • 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Mills will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Shrewsbury Town FC have won 387 goals from 330 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adedeji Oshilaja on 67 minutes.
  • 70' Tom Bayliss is replacing Elliott Bennett for the Shrewsbury Town FC side.
  • 71' The whistle greets Kwadwo Baah as he departs to be replaced by Mason Bennett.
  • 76' Shrewsbury Town FC is showing some good football. However, Shrewsbury Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Nohan Kenneh. He receives a card.
  • 84' Max Crocombe picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Bobby Kamwa exits the field as Cole Stockton enters on 86.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Shrewsbury Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Shrewsbury Town FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC37% Draw30% Shrewsbury Town FC33%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Shrewsbury Town FC
63%
Burton Albion FC or Shrewsbury Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC24% Draw52% Shrewsbury Town FC24%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
10.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Shrewsbury Town FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Shrewsbury Town FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.