Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wigan Athletic FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC DW Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Curtis Nelson

Overview

Match Preview

Wigan Athletic FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at DW Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Parsons (England)
  • Assistant 1 Joe Simpson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Derby County FC H 0–1 L
23 Dec Reading FC A 0–2 L
16 Dec Port Vale FC A 2–3 L
09 Dec Lincoln City FC H 0–0 D
01 Dec York City FC A 1–0 W
28 Nov Fleetwood Town FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Wigan Athletic FC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Charlie Hughes made 380 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 19' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Curtis Nelson on 19.
  • 24' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Conor Hourihane suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' Wigan Athletic FC is showing some good football. However, Wigan Athletic FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Wigan Athletic FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 49' It looks surprising Wigan Athletic FC does not make any changes. Sam Tickle has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 54' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chris Sze, as he is very good at scoring at DW Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 79' Joe Wildsmith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Wigan Athletic FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wigan Athletic FC29% Draw32% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Wigan Athletic FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Derby County FC
71%
Wigan Athletic FC or Derby County FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wigan Athletic FC20% Draw54% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Wigan Athletic FC

Handicap Wigan Athletic FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Wigan Athletic FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.