Sunday , 16 August 2026

Wigan Athletic FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC DW Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Curtis Nelson

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Derby County FC H 0–1 L
23 Dec Reading FC A 0–2 L
16 Dec Port Vale FC A 2–3 L
09 Dec Lincoln City FC H 0–0 D
01 Dec York City FC A 1–0 W
28 Nov Fleetwood Town FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Wigan Athletic FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wigan Athletic FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at DW Stadium as Wigan Athletic FC face off against Derby County FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Wigan Athletic FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 19' What a strike from Curtis Nelson! The score is 0-1.
  • 24' With 0 assists to his name this season, Callum Lang is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 29' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 34' It is a cagey affair so far. Wigan Athletic FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 39' Wigan Athletic FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 49' A quiet spell here at DW Stadium. Wigan Athletic FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 54' James Collins needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 59' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 69' England international Kane Wilson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wigan Athletic FC that had 380 games and scored 405 goals.
  • 89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • With this win, Derby County FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Wigan Athletic FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wigan Athletic FC29% Draw32% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Wigan Athletic FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Derby County FC
71%
Wigan Athletic FC or Derby County FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wigan Athletic FC20% Draw54% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Wigan Athletic FC

Handicap Wigan Athletic FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Wigan Athletic FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.