Bolton Wanderers FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Bolton Wanderers FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Burton Albion FC

Mon 1 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium 20,259 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jasper Moon og 51' 1–0

Y 57' Kwadwo Baah

Y 65' Ciaran Gilligan

Aaron Morley 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.

Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Darren Drysdale
Assistant 1 Steve Durnall (England)
Assistant 2

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Bolton Wanderers FC 12 games · Avg 2.9 goals Burton Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-01 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-08-26 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Bolton Wanderers FC 2023-04-18 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Bolton Wanderers FC 2022-10-25 Bolton Wanderers FC 2–1 Burton Albion FC 2022-02-15 Burton Albion FC 3–1 Bolton Wanderers FC

Recent Form

Bolton Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Jan	Burton Albion FC	H	1–0	W
29 Dec	Fleetwood Town FC	A	2–0	W
26 Dec	Lincoln City FC	A	1–0	W
23 Dec	Leyton Orient FC	H	3–2	W
16 Dec	Bristol Rovers FC	H	1–2	L
11 Dec	Portsmouth FC	A	0–2	L

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Jan	Bolton Wanderers FC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	1–0	W
26 Dec	Blackpool FC	H	1–0	W
23 Dec	Charlton Athletic FC	A	1–1	D
16 Dec	Oxford United FC	A	0–3	L
09 Dec	Stevenage FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Bolton Wanderers FC		Burton Albion FC
#5	Position	#17
75	Points	54
46	Played	46
19 / 18 / 9	W / D / L	13 / 15 / 18
70	Scored	50
52	Conceded	60
+18	GD	-10
1.63	PPG	1.17
41%	Win %	28%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bolton Wanderers FC are 5th (75 pts). Burton Albion FC are 17th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Burton Albion FC kicks off things out of here…
5' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
15' George Thomason is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bolton Wanderers FC so far.
20' Burton Albion FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
30' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
35' Burton Albion FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bolton Wanderers FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 372 games and scored 418 goals.
51' Jasper Moon adds to his 0 season tally! Burton Albion FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Burton Albion FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
57' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 57.
62' Victor Adeboyejo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 43 goals in his last 385 appearances.
65' Burton Albion FC player sees a card in front of him.
70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
75' Over 75 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
76' Fresh legs for Bolton Wanderers FC! Jon Bodvarsson comes on to replace Victor Adeboyejo.
77' Burton Albion FC make a change. Kwadwo Baah trudges off to be replaced by Mason Bennett on 77 minutes.
82' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Bez Lubala is replaced by Josh Walker on 82 minute.
86' Bolton Wanderers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
87' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Dion Charles by Cameron Jerome on 87 minute.
88' Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Sheehan is hanging George Thomason on the field on 88 minute.
90' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Randell Williams by Zac Ashworth on 90 minute.
Full Time. Bolton Wanderers FC beats Burton Albion FC

Lineups

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

1
Nathan Baxter
14
Victor Adeboyejo ↓ Jon Bodvarsson 76'
16
Aaron Morley
27
Randell Williams ↓ Zac Ashworth 90'
10
Dion Charles ↓ Cameron Jerome 87'
18
Eoin Toal
4
George Thomason ↓ Josh Sheehan 88'
19
Edmond-Paris Maghoma ↓ Kyle Dempsey 76'
15
Will Forrester
12
Josh Dacres-Cogley
5
Ricardo Santos

Bench

8
Josh Sheehan ↑ 88'
22
Kyle Dempsey ↑ 76'
41
Luke Matheson
13
Joel Coleman
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 87'
26
Zac Ashworth ↑ 90'
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 76'

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Victor Adeboyejo	2
Lucas Akins	2
Dion Charles	2
John Brayford	2
Jamie Murphy	2
Dennis Politic	1
Josh Walker	1
Mark Helm	1

Head to Head

Bolton Wanderers FC Form

2024-01-01 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC W 2023-12-29 Fleetwood Town FC 0–2 Bolton Wanderers FC W 2023-12-26 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Bolton Wanderers FC W 2023-12-23 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–2 Leyton Orient FC W 2023-12-16 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–2 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-12-11 Portsmouth FC 2–0 Bolton Wanderers FC L

Burton Albion FC Form

2024-01-01 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC L 2023-12-29 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Shrewsbury Town FC W 2023-12-26 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Blackpool FC W 2023-12-23 Charlton Athletic FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC D 2023-12-16 Oxford United FC 3–0 Burton Albion FC L 2023-12-09 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Stevenage FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.6 Bolton Wanderers FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Burton Albion FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bolton Wanderers FC54% Draw26% Burton Albion FC20%

Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw

80%

Draw or Burton Albion FC

46%

Bolton Wanderers FC or Burton Albion FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Bolton Wanderers FC36% Draw48% Burton Albion FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

10.1%

2 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.3%

3 – 0

5.3%

1 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

4.9%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap	Bolton Wanderers FC covers	Push	Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	24%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.