Bolton Wanderers FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Bolton Wanderers FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Burton Albion FC

Mon 1 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC University of Bolton Stadium 20,259 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jasper Moon og 51' 1–0

Y 57' Kwadwo Baah

Y 65' Ciaran Gilligan

Aaron Morley 86' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at University of Bolton Stadium.

Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Burton Albion FC 15 games · 17 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Darren Drysdale
Assistant 1 Steve Durnall (England)
Assistant 2

4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	15	29
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Sheffield Wednesday FC	14	23
6	Plymouth Argyle FC	15	23
7	Reading FC	15	22
8	Bradford City AFC	13	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons FC	14	21
10	Cambridge United FC	14	21
11	Leicester City FC	13	19
12	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	15	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	16
18	Notts County FC	12	14
19	Wigan Athletic FC	15	14
20	Blackpool FC	13	12
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	13	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Bolton Wanderers FC 12 games · Avg 2.9 goals Burton Albion FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-01-01 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC 2023-08-26 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Bolton Wanderers FC 2023-04-18 Burton Albion FC 1–1 Bolton Wanderers FC 2022-10-25 Bolton Wanderers FC 2–1 Burton Albion FC 2022-02-15 Burton Albion FC 3–1 Bolton Wanderers FC

Recent Form

Bolton Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Jan	Burton Albion FC	H	1–0	W
29 Dec	Fleetwood Town FC	A	2–0	W
26 Dec	Lincoln City FC	A	1–0	W
23 Dec	Leyton Orient FC	H	3–2	W
16 Dec	Bristol Rovers FC	H	1–2	L
11 Dec	Portsmouth FC	A	0–2	L

Burton Albion FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Jan	Bolton Wanderers FC	A	0–1	L
29 Dec	Shrewsbury Town FC	H	1–0	W
26 Dec	Blackpool FC	H	1–0	W
23 Dec	Charlton Athletic FC	A	1–1	D
16 Dec	Oxford United FC	A	0–3	L
09 Dec	Stevenage FC	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

6/3

31-45

1/6

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/3

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC

Jack Armer	3 G	1 A
Finn Delap	3 G
Matthew Dennis	1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Bolton Wanderers FC and Burton Albion FC get this one started.
5' Sam Hughes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 13 Yellow cards this season.
10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
15' Aaron Morley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bolton Wanderers FC so far.
20' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
25' Burton Albion FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
35' Burton Albion FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
40' Burton Albion FC have won 438 goals from 387 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
45' The 24-year-old Zac Ashworth has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
50' Bolton Wanderers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burton Albion FC's shape.
51' Goal! Jasper Moon scores his 2 goal in 398 matches.
56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
57' That looks like a foul for a card for Kwadwo Baah.
62' Bolton Wanderers FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
65' It’s gonna be a card for Ciaran Gilligan.
70' Mason Bennett has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
76' The whistle greets Victor Adeboyejo as he departs to be replaced by Jon Bodvarsson.
77' Another substitution for Burton Albion FC to replace Kwadwo Baah by Mason Bennett on 77 minute.
82' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Bez Lubala exits the field as Josh Walker enters on 82.
86' That is a card for Bolton Wanderers FC. Aaron Morley will be fuming at that decision.
87' A change in the Bolton Wanderers FC ranks — Dion Charles exits the field as Cameron Jerome enters on 87.
88' A change in the Bolton Wanderers FC ranks — George Thomason exits the field as Josh Sheehan enters on 88.
90' Bolton Wanderers FC ring the changes. Randell Williams has done his job and it is now time for Zac Ashworth to step up.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Bolton Wanderers FC players.

Lineups

Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

1
Nathan Baxter
14
Victor Adeboyejo ↓ Jon Bodvarsson 76'
16
Aaron Morley
27
Randell Williams ↓ Zac Ashworth 90'
10
Dion Charles ↓ Cameron Jerome 87'
18
Eoin Toal
4
George Thomason ↓ Josh Sheehan 88'
19
Edmond-Paris Maghoma ↓ Kyle Dempsey 76'
15
Will Forrester
12
Josh Dacres-Cogley
5
Ricardo Santos

Bench

8
Josh Sheehan ↑ 88'
22
Kyle Dempsey ↑ 76'
41
Luke Matheson
13
Joel Coleman
35
Cameron Jerome ↑ 87'
26
Zac Ashworth ↑ 90'
9
Jon Bodvarsson ↑ 76'

Burton Albion FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie Murphy	2
Victor Adeboyejo	2
Lucas Akins	2
Dion Charles	2
John Brayford	2
Ethan Hamilton	1
Jon Daði Boðvarsson	1
Ryan Sweeney	1

Head to Head

Bolton Wanderers FC Form

2024-01-01 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC W 2023-12-29 Fleetwood Town FC 0–2 Bolton Wanderers FC W 2023-12-26 Lincoln City FC 0–1 Bolton Wanderers FC W 2023-12-23 Bolton Wanderers FC 3–2 Leyton Orient FC W 2023-12-16 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–2 Bristol Rovers FC L 2023-12-11 Portsmouth FC 2–0 Bolton Wanderers FC L

Burton Albion FC Form

2024-01-01 Bolton Wanderers FC 1–0 Burton Albion FC L 2023-12-29 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Shrewsbury Town FC W 2023-12-26 Burton Albion FC 1–0 Blackpool FC W 2023-12-23 Charlton Athletic FC 1–1 Burton Albion FC D 2023-12-16 Oxford United FC 3–0 Burton Albion FC L 2023-12-09 Burton Albion FC 1–2 Stevenage FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.38 Bolton Wanderers FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Burton Albion FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bolton Wanderers FC49% Draw28% Burton Albion FC23%

Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Burton Albion FC

51%

Bolton Wanderers FC or Burton Albion FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Bolton Wanderers FC31% Draw50% Burton Albion FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

11.5%

2 – 0

8.6%

2 – 1

8.5%

0 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

6.1%

0 – 2

4.4%

2 – 2

4.3%

3 – 1

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap	Bolton Wanderers FC covers	Push	Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	23%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	16%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.