Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Thu 21 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Hourihane 26' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Daniel Mandroiu pen
Kane Wilson 65' 2–1
James Collins 77' 3–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Derby County FC A 1–3 L
16 Dec Reading FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 0–0 D
28 Nov Cambridge United FC A 3–0 W
25 Nov Barnsley FC H 2–2 D
21 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Lincoln City FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC44% Draw28% Lincoln City FC28%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
56%
Derby County FC or Lincoln City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC29% Draw48% Lincoln City FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.