Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Thu 21 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,192 HT 45' · FT 45'
Conor Hourihane 26' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Daniel Mandroiu pen
Kane Wilson 65' 2–1
James Collins 77' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Lincoln City FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Wright
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Harty
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robinson (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Derby County FC A 1–3 L
16 Dec Reading FC H 1–1 D
09 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 0–0 D
28 Nov Cambridge United FC A 3–0 W
25 Nov Barnsley FC H 2–2 D
21 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pride Park Stadium that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Lincoln City FC.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Collins suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Alistair Smith has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 26' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Conor Hourihane on 26.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Thompson made 385 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' Daniel Mandroiu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 46' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kane Wilson is hanging Joe Ward on the field on 46 minute.
  • 47' GOAL! Daniel Mandroiu scores on 45.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Lincoln City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Adam Jackson was booked on 57.
  • 62' Lincoln City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
  • 65' What a strike from Kane Wilson! The score is 2-1.
  • 66' The whistle greets Tyrese Fornah as he departs to be replaced by Louie Sibley.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexander Mitchell, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Lincoln City FC. Ted Bishop is replaced by Hakeeb Adelakun.
  • 77' Goal! James Collins scores his 91 goal in 382 matches.
  • 79' Another change for Derby County FC made on 79 minute. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing leaves to be changed by Tyreece John-Jules.
  • 80' Callum Elder is replacing Thomas Barkhuizen for the Derby County FC side.
  • 83' The whistle greets Daniel Mandroiu as he departs to be replaced by Alistair Smith.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Conor Hourihane. He receives a card.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Jack Vale.
  • 90' Ethan Erhahon is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Liam Thompson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.38 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Lincoln City FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC44% Draw28% Lincoln City FC28%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
56%
Derby County FC or Lincoln City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC29% Draw48% Lincoln City FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.