Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 6,410 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' James Collins
0–2 78' Conor Hourihane
0–3 84' Conor Washington

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne
5 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Derby County FC H 0–3 L
05 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
07 May Milton Keynes Dons FC H 0–0 D
03 May Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
29 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
22 Apr Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Burton Albion FC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
  • 2' Controversy at the stadium! Steve Seddon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 7' What a strike from James Collins! The score is 0-1.
  • 12' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 385 games and scored 434 goals.
  • 17' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 27' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burton Albion FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eiran Cashin made 397 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 45 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 50' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 58' Mason Bennett gets the nod from Burton Albion FC. He replaces Jake Caprice and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dino Maamria will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Conor Hourihane on 68 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 73' Bobby Kamwa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rekeem Harper on 73 minute.
  • 78' A goal from the Ireland international Conor Hourihane! He fires home on 78 to make it 0-2!
  • 81' Conor Washington gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Derby County FC make a change. Conor Hourihane trudges off to be replaced by Martyn Waghorn on 82 minutes.
  • 83' The whistle greets Steve Seddon as he departs to be replaced by Mustapha Carayol.
  • 84' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Conor Washington makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 87' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace James Collins by Liam Thompson on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Eiran Cashin is booked for Derby County FC — card on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Craig Forsyth as he departs to be replaced by Callum Elder.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC25% Draw30% Derby County FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC17% Draw52% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
13.4%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 15% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 24% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.