Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.
- Burton Albion FC 46 games · 54 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Derby County FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Aug | Blackpool FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 May | Milton Keynes Dons FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Cambridge United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Burton Albion FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 May | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | Burton Albion FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Exeter City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burton Albion FC and Derby County FC is underway.
- 2' It’s gonna be a card for Steve Seddon.
- 7' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by James Collins on 7.
- 12' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Joe Powell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 17' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 22' Burton Albion FC is showing some good football. However, Burton Albion FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 37' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 42' Kane Wilson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 45' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets a card.
- 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Curtis Nelson made 366 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 58' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Jake Caprice is replaced by Mason Bennett.
- 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 68' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
- 73' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Rekeem Harper is replaced by Bobby Kamwa on 73 minute.
- 78' What a strike from Conor Hourihane! The score is 0-2.
- 81' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Conor Washington.
- 82' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Conor Hourihane by Martyn Waghorn on 82 minute.
- 83' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mustapha Carayol is hanging Steve Seddon on the field on 83 minute.
- 84' What a strike from Conor Washington! The score is 0-3.
- 87' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Liam Thompson is hanging James Collins on the field on 87 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eiran Cashin on 90.
- 90' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Craig Forsyth departs to be replaced by Callum Elder.
- Another three points for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↓ Bobby Kamwa 73'
- 7
- 2
- 30
- 10
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Mustapha Carayol 83'
-
22
Jake Caprice ↓ Mason Bennett 58'
- 5
- 17
- 4
Bench
-
11
Mason Bennett ↑ 58'
- 19
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 83'
- 1
- 25
-
18
Bobby Kamwa ↑ 73'
- 16
Coach
Dino Maamria
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↓ Callum Elder 90'
- 8
- 11
- 4
- 35
-
23
Joe Ward ↓ Kane Wilson 90'
-
9
James Collins ↓ Liam Thompson 87'
- 5
- 6
- 1
Bench
-
10
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 82'
-
14
Conor Washington ↑ 81'
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 90'
- 31
-
20
Callum Elder ↑ 90'
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 87'
- 34
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
| Joe Hugill | 1 |
Head to Head
Burton Albion FC Form
2023-08-12
Burton Albion FC
0–3
Derby County FC
L
2023-08-05
Blackpool FC
2–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-05-07
Burton Albion FC
0–0
Milton Keynes Dons FC
D
2023-05-03
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Cambridge United FC
W
2023-04-29
Plymouth Argyle FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-04-25
Lincoln City FC
0–1
Burton Albion FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2023-08-12
Burton Albion FC
0–3
Derby County FC
W
2023-08-05
Derby County FC
1–2
Wigan Athletic FC
L
2023-05-07
Sheffield Wednesday FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2023-04-29
Derby County FC
1–1
Portsmouth FC
D
2023-04-22
Derby County FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
W
2023-04-18
Exeter City FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85
Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Burton Albion FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
13.4%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC
| Handicap | Burton Albion FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

