Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 6,410 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' James Collins
0–2 78' Conor Hourihane
0–3 84' Conor Washington

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Derby County FC H 0–3 L
05 Aug Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
07 May Milton Keynes Dons FC H 0–0 D
03 May Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
29 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
22 Apr Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Exeter City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC25% Draw30% Derby County FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Burton Albion FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC17% Draw52% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
13.4%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 15% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 24% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.