Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Hyoran
Keny Arroyo 26' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs SC Recife — Serie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SC Recife H 1–1 D
02 Oct CR Flamengo A 0–0 D
27 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
21 Sep RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
15 Sep EC Bahia A 2–1 W
31 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
27 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
21 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–0 W
14 Sep RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
31 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 2–3 L

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
14% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Matheus Pereira 9 G 4 A
Kaio Jorge 7 G 1 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Cruzeiro EC gets underway.
  • 5' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 16' The Cruzeiro EC manager makes a substitution. Matheus Henrique departs to be replaced by Christian.
  • 21' The referee shows SC Recife player a card on 21.
  • 26' That looks like a foul for a card for Keny Arroyo.
  • 31' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. Cruzeiro EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 33' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Aderlan Silva on 33 minutes.
  • 38' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 41' Brilliant from the ! Derik Lacerda makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 41.
  • 46' Romarinho makes way for Igor Carius at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
  • 51' Kaiki Bruno is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
  • 55' A tactical swap from Cruzeiro EC — Luis Sinisterra on, Jonathan off on 55 minutes.
  • 59' What an equalizer from Gabriel Barbosa!
  • 64' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 66' Rodrigo Atencio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hyoran on 66 minute.
  • 71' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cruzeiro EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 76' Cruzeiro EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 79' Ryan Guilherme is replacing Christian for the Cruzeiro EC side.
  • 84' Ecuador international Keny Arroyo has been a key figure this campaign — 4 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
  • 86' Chrystian Barletta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheusinho on 86 minute.
  • 90' A change in the SC Recife ranks — Christian Rivera exits the field as Lucas Kal enters on 90.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.38 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC51% Draw28% SC Recife21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Recife
49%
Cruzeiro EC or SC Recife
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC33% Draw52% SC Recife15%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.5%
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.