Sunday , 16 August 2026

Croatia vs Italy, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Croatia
1 – 1
Full Time
Italy
Mon 24 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 38,322 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luka Modric 55' 1–0
1–1 90+8' Mattia Zaccagni
Luka Sucic 24' Y
Luka Modric 60' Y
Luka Ivanusec 73' Y
Marin Pongracic 78' Y
Josip Stanisic 82' Y
Marcelo Brozovic 90' Y
Y 90' Riccardo Calafiori
Y 90' Nicolo Fagioli
Y 90' Luciano Spalletti

Overview

Match Preview

Croatia vs Italy — European Championship at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

  • Croatia 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
  • Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
  • Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Croatia 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-24 Croatia 1–1 Italy 2018-01-13 Croatia 2–0 Italy 2017-09-23 Italy 1–0 Croatia

Recent Form

Croatia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jun Italy H 1–1 D
19 Jun Albania H 2–2 D
15 Jun Spain A 0–3 L
17 Dec Morocco H 2–1 W
13 Dec Argentina A 0–3 L
09 Dec Brazil H 5–3 W
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jun Croatia A 1–1 D
20 Jun Spain A 0–1 L
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Croatia
Andrej Kramaric 1 G
Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Croatia welcome Italy for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
  • 5' Federico Chiesa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Italy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' The 24-year-old Riccardo Calafiori has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Croatia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 24' A moment of madness from Luka Sucic on 24 minutes earns him a card. Croatia will be frustrated.
  • 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' The travelling Italy supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' Luka Modric has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 44' Italy is showing some good football. However, Italy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Croatia ring the changes. Mario Pasalic has done his job and it is now time for Ante Budimir to step up.
  • 51' Croatia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 55' Luka Modric does the damage! The net is bulging and Croatia surge ahead!
  • 57' Federico Chiesa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Federico Dimarco at the 57 minute mark.
  • 60' Controversy at the stadium! Luka Modric argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 65' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 70' Another change for Croatia made on 70 minute. Luka Sucic leaves to be changed by Ivan Perisic.
  • 73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luka Ivanusec.
  • 75' The Italy bench stirs into life. Giacomo Raspadori is withdrawn and Gianluca Scamacca gets his opportunity.
  • 78' That is a card for Croatia. Marin Pongracic will be fuming at that decision.
  • 80' Lovro Majer gets the nod from Croatia. He replaces Luka Modric and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Italy. Jorginho is replaced by Nicolo Fagioli.
  • 82' Josip Stanisic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 87' Gianluca Scamacca needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 90' Croatia receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Josip Juranovic. He replaces Andrej Kramaric on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Croatia Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Zlatko Dalić

Italy Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luciano Spalletti

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35 Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Italy xG
I would bet for: Croatia or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Croatia42% Draw30% Italy28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Croatia or Draw
71%
Draw or Italy
58%
Croatia or Italy
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Croatia30% Draw50% Italy20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Croatia

Handicap Croatia covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Croatia keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.