Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Croatia vs Brazil, Worldcup 2022 QUARTER FINALS

FIFA World Cup · 2022
5 – 3
4 – 2 pen
Full Time
Fri 9 Dec 2022 · 15:00 UTC Lusail Iconic Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Croatia vs Brazil — Worldcup at Lusail Iconic Stadium.

  • Croatia 3 games · 6 pts (2026/26)
  • Brazil 3 games · 7 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Burt
  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Referee Gary Beswick
  • Referee Massimiliano Irrati
  • Referee Pol van Boekel
  • Referee Mustapha Ghorbal

Head-to-Head

1
Croatia 1 games · Avg 8.0 goals Brazil

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Brazil H 5–3 W
05 Dec Japan A 4–2 W
01 Dec Belgium H 0–0 D
27 Nov Canada H 4–1 W
23 Nov Morocco A 0–0 D
28 Jun Spain H 3–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Croatia A 3–5 L
05 Dec South Korea H 4–1 W
02 Dec Cameroon A 0–1 L
28 Nov Switzerland H 1–0 W
24 Nov Serbia H 2–0 W
11 Jul Argentina A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Croatia Brazil
#46 Position #9
6 Points 7
3 Played 3
2 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 0
5 Scored 7
5 Conceded 1
+0 GD +6
2.00 PPG 2.33
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
40% Clean Sheets
Brazil this season

Croatia are 46th (6 pts). Brazil are 9th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brazil
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brazil
Vinicius Junior 4 G 1 A
Matheus Cunha 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Croatia and Brazil get this one started.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Croatia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Brazil's shape.
  • 15' Mislav Orsic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Croatia tonight.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' The referee has no hesitation. Danilo is booked for Brazil — Yellow card on 25.
  • 30' Croatia international Luka Modric has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' Controversy at the stadium! Marcelo Brozovic argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Croatia that had 169 games and scored 46 goals.
  • 41' With 1 assists to his name this season, Lucas Paqueta is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Brazil.
  • 46' Danilo Luiz da Silva has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 16 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' Another change for Brazil made on 56 minute. Raphinha leaves to be changed by Antony.
  • 61' Croatia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Brazil backline.
  • 64' The Brazil bench stirs into life. Vinicius Junior is withdrawn and Rodrygo gets his opportunity.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Casemiro. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 72' The Croatia bench stirs into life. Andrej Kramaric is withdrawn and Bruno Petkovic gets his opportunity.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Croatia team. Andrej Kramaric is replaced by Bruno Petkovic on 73 minute.
  • 77' The referee calls foul for Marquinhos. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 82' Ivan Perisic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' The whistle greets Richarlison as he departs to be replaced by Pedro.
  • 89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Zlatko Dalić might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • Full Time. Croatia beats Brazil

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17 Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.4 Brazil xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Croatia42% Draw21% Brazil37%
Actual: Croatia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Croatia or Draw
63%
Draw or Brazil
58%
Croatia or Brazil
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Croatia30% Draw35% Brazil35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted
5 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
1 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 4
3.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Croatia

Handicap Croatia covers Push Brazil covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 15% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 17% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 13% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Croatia keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Brazil keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.