Saturday , 14 November 2026

Croatia vs Italy, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2024
Croatia
1 – 1
Full Time
Italy
Mon 24 Jun 2024 · 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 38,322 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luka Modric 55' 1–0
1–1 90+8' Mattia Zaccagni
Luka Sucic 24' Y
Luka Modric 60' Y
Luka Ivanusec 73' Y
Marin Pongracic 78' Y
Josip Stanisic 82' Y
Marcelo Brozovic 90' Y
Y 90' Riccardo Calafiori
Y 90' Nicolo Fagioli
Y 90' Luciano Spalletti

Overview

Match Preview

Croatia vs Italy — European Championship at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

  • Croatia 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
  • Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
  • Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Croatia 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Italy
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-24 Croatia 1–1 Italy 2018-01-13 Croatia 2–0 Italy 2017-09-23 Italy 1–0 Croatia

Recent Form

Croatia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jun Italy H 1–1 D
19 Jun Albania H 2–2 D
15 Jun Spain A 0–3 L
17 Dec Morocco H 2–1 W
13 Dec Argentina A 0–3 L
09 Dec Brazil H 5–3 W
Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jun Croatia A 1–1 D
20 Jun Spain A 0–1 L
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W
02 Jul Belgium A 2–1 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Croatia
Andrej Kramaric 1 G
Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Red Bull Arena Leipzig will turn into a battlefield for Croatia and Italy.
  • 5' It’s high time Zlatko Dalić made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Alessandro Bastoni is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Italy so far.
  • 15' Italy come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 24' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luka Sucic.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Croatia and Italy are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 34' Croatia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Croatia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Croatia ring the changes. Mario Pasalic has done his job and it is now time for Ante Budimir to step up.
  • 51' Mario Pasalic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' GOAL! Luka Modric scores on 55.
  • 57' Federico Dimarco makes way for Federico Chiesa at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Italy.
  • 60' Poor challenge from Luka Modric. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 65' Italy has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Croatia team. Luka Sucic is replaced by Ivan Perisic on 70 minute.
  • 73' Luka Ivanusec catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
  • 75' Italy manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gianluca Scamacca is hanging Giacomo Raspadori on the field on 75 minute.
  • 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Marin Pongracic.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Luka Modric as he leaves the pitch. Lovro Majer steps in for Croatia.
  • 81' Nicolo Fagioli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jorginho at the 81 minute mark.
  • 82' Croatia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' Marcelo Brozovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Josip Juranovic. He replaces Andrej Kramaric on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Croatia Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Zlatko Dalić

Italy Lineups

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luciano Spalletti

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35 Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Italy xG
I would bet for: Croatia or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Croatia42% Draw30% Italy28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Croatia or Draw
71%
Draw or Italy
58%
Croatia or Italy
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Croatia30% Draw50% Italy20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Croatia

Handicap Croatia covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Croatia keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.